Pac 8 expansion
|Arizona State||43-16 (.729)||41-17 (.707)|
|Arizona||36-20 (.643)||28-26-2 (.519)|
Georgia Tech joining the ACC.
|Georgia Tech||30-25-1 (.536)||15-38-2 (.283)|
Penn State becoming the 11th team in the Big 10.
|Penn State||42-16 (.724)||49-12 (.803)|
Florida State joining the ACC.
|Florida State||53-8 (.869)||54-6-1 (.900)|
|South Carolina||31-23-2 (.574)||26-28-1 (.481)|
Remnants of the SWC getting swallowed by the Big 8.
|Texas||34-22-2 (.607)||39-20 (.661)|
|Texas A&M||51-8-1 (.864)||37-23 (.617)|
|Baylor||34-24 (.586)||11-44 (.200)|
|Texas Tech||34-24 (.571)||33-25 (.569)|
Of these examples, only three teams (Texas, Penn State, Florida State) improved their winning percentages in the first few seasons in the new conference. The average winning percentage declined by 10%. And most fans would point out that the three schools that improved were already established, traditional powers.
Most disconcerting was Baylor’s decline. Many opponents and columnists have mocked BC saying that we’ll be “the Baylor of the ACC.” And while there are similarities between the schools, I think the situations are different enough that our fate will be different. Baylor is a private school in a mega-conference filled with state schools. Also, Baylor is in a football hotbed where high school athletes have numerous choices. BC will be in a conference with a mix of public and private schools, with many of the public schools being like-minded academically. Although the Northeast does not generate as many football players as Texas, BC will remain a unique and appealing option in an underrated recruiting area.
So what does it all mean? The numbers say BC will experience a slight decline. I’ll hold out hope.