Thursday, May 03, 2007

Did Glasper make an impact defensively?

Regardless of whose story you believe, I would say the majority of fans think forcing Ryan Glasper back was the right football move for the 2006 defense. The team was coming off a bad loss and had narrowly won its other three games. In Glasper’s absence the team gave up an average of 433.75 yards a game and allowed an average of 24.5 points per game. After his return those averages dropped to 283 and 11.89 respectively. Case closed for TOB, right? Not exactly.

If you look a little deeper you'll see that the numbers were skewed by the quality of the opponents we faced with and without Glasper. Take a look:

OpponentOff Rank
National
Off Rank
Conference
Total Offense
against BC
Points Scored
against BC
Central Michigan24th1st35424
Clemson*9th1st49933
BYU*6th1st57323
NC State101st10th30917

*Overtime game

No wonder the defense struggled. They had just faced the No. 1 offense in the ACC, the No. 1 offense in the Mountain West and the No. 1 offense in the MAC. Even with 11 Ryan Glaspers these games still would have been struggles for a defense. Now look at who we faced after Glasper returned:

OpponentOff Rank
National
Off Rank
Conference
Total Offense
against BC
Points Scored
against BC
Maine**80th*^11th1990
Virginia Tech47th3rd2433
Florida State54th4th37519
Buffalo99th10th1160
Wake Forest75th6th29621
Duke113th12th3377
Maryland79th7th33116
Miami89th8th24717
Navy33rdNA40324

** DIAA opponent
*^ DIAA ranking


So did our defense get better in the second half? Yes. Did we also face less explosive offenses? Yes. Leadership and toughness are hard to measure. Glasper certainly brought those attributes back to our team, but you’ll have a hard time convincing me he was the reason our defensive numbers improved. I think Dunbar, Tribble, Herzy and Albright stepping up were probably bigger factors.

In my opinion the Navy game may be the most telling. According to Glasper, he finally felt 100% by the bowl. How did our D look against the Middies? Terrible. But Navy is a good offense. So once again the minute BC played a top 40 offense we went back to giving up over 400 yards and barely escaping with a win.

The ultimate stat in all of this is that we were 3-1 without Glasper and 7-2 with him. Yet we still ended up in a deadend bowl. Was it worth it? I don’t think so. We could have just as easily used him against this year's tougher schedule.

I also want to echo what many are saying about this whole incident and how it reflected on TOB. If our former coach had constantly played to win and preached a now is the time attitude something like rushing Glasper back would have been easier to swallow. Instead he seemingly exploited a loyal kid for nothing. We still had the same stubborn, frustrating and emotionless gameplans. We still lost to lameduck programs when everything was on the line. We still ended up in a 3rd tier bowl. If Glasper coming back felt like part of a bigger plan or a push to break through no one would begrudge TOB. Instead it comes off as a shortsighted, exploitative move by a coach who had mentally checked out.

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