Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Reading between the lines

BC is favored this Saturday night. Most sports books have it as a 2.5 or 2 point spread. What's the big deal about being favored? It is a very rare occurrence when we face Virginia Tech.

BC has played Virginia Tech 15 times with the first game coming in 1993. According to Phil Steele's records, we have officially been the underdog in every game since 2000.

I don't have point spread data beyond 2000, but if you look at game recaps from 1995 to 1999, you'll see that Virginia Tech entered each of those games with a higher ranking than BC. I would assume they were favored in all of those contests.

The last time I believe that BC was favored was 1994. It was Dan Henning's first home game...BC lost. Assuming that the very good 1993 team was also favored, that means BC has only been favored twice in 15 games.

Point spreads don't win games. They are merely a reflection of perspective (the betting public's and the oddsmakers'). I am glad to see it shifting in BC's favor.


Erik said...

Sounds like a toss up plus our home field advantage.

Big Jack Krack said...

Virginia Tech's Schedule has been tougher than ours so far and they are 5 and 1. However, BC has beaten them 3 out of the last 4 regular season games. So I agree with eric - toss up plus homefield advantage.

11-22-2003 BC 34 Virginia Tech 27 Blacksburg, VA

2004 Did not play

10-27-2005 BC 10 Virginia Tech 30 Blacksburg, VA (Quinton Porter literally handed the game to VTech – plus they were super on D that year).

10-12-2006 BC 22 Virginia Tech 3 Chestnut Hill, MA

10-12-2007 BC 14 Virginia Tech 10 Blacksburg, VA

By the time we played in the ACCCG last year, we had so many key injuries that it wasn’t surprising that VTech prevailed in a hard fought game.

The Eagles will be ready for this game. We must contain Tyrod Taylor somehow, and bring home a great victory in front of a national TV audience (even if it is on "the Deuce".) I hope Alumni Stadium is absolutely rocking.