I feel like we are due for a crazy BC-Wake Forest game. The last two have been fairly ho-hum events. But all the BC-Wake games between 2003 and 2009 were filled with drama or last second wins. Wake Forest has a better record and is favored, but they are a flawed team also. They've lost three out of their last four and like us looked bad against Clemson and Florida State. I think both teams' styles will also lend to an even matchup. Let's just hope BC comes out ahead.
Hot Seat Thermometer
I don't think last week's win did much to change the perception on Spaz. It might have even hurt it as BC squandered a lead and didn't seem to rattle Maryland's fourth string QB. I don't think the Wake outcome will change anything either, but I hope the Spaz and the staff try to build off of the emotion and momentum of the Maryland win.
Temperature: a pizza oven
Overlooked Storyline: BC and Wake Forest have a very similar schedule
The transitive property is pretty flawed in sports. Who you beat and who I beat doesn't always follow logic when both teams take the field. However it you ever wanted to apply it to college football, you could probably start with BC and Wake. Obviously there are the shared division opponents but this year Wake also scheduled Army and Notre Dame. As a frame of reference they beat Army in a shootout and play the Irish the two weeks after we do.
Three Simple Keys
1. Pick off Price. Last week our INTs made the difference. It felt like BC football of old. Tanner Price is a solid QB, so we need to keep him in the pocket and force him to throw into coverage.
2. Change field position with Special Teams. Spiffy was aggressive and productive last week in the return game. BC couldn't always capitalize We need him to continue that aggressiveness and shorten the field for the offense. We also need a consistent day from Levano. Maybe he should do more rugby style punts.
3. No big plays. BC's plan against Maryland was working until Diggs finally took one all the way. If we are going to be a classic Spaz D, the key is bending, not breaking. Davis is Wake's most explosive player. We need to keep him in front of our DBs.
-- BC has won their last two games in Winston-Salem
-- Spaz is 2-1 vs Jim Grobe
-- Grobe is 33-32 coming off of a loss while at Wake Forest
The current line is BC+3.5
Chase Rettig has two starts against Wake Forest, but he has yet to match Dave Shinskie's success against the Deacons. In 2009, Shinskie threw for 228 yards and three TDs. Rettig's best was 188 yards and one TD in last season's loss.
How can you not be watching Notre Dame-Pitt? Not only does it impact the start time of our game next week, but the game will also determine if the Irish remain undefeated. During normal years I would play down the Notre Dame series. This year we need the hope of an unbeaten ND team. Being a spoiler to their latest "Return to Glory" would be the highlight of the season and probably the Spaz era.
I hope to see...
Rettig light it up. Other ACC QBs have put up huge numbers on Wake's pass defense. There is no reason we cannot. Rettig struggled last week but played really well when it mattered most. This week I want to see him click from the first snap to the final whistle.
BC is in trouble if...
We cannot stop the run. Wake is not a particularly efficient passing team. We need to them to throw and throw a lot. It will force mistakes and get us the ball back. If they establish the run early, it could be a lot like the Georgia Tech game where our offense cannot get on the field.
I don't think Wake Forest is very good and I think we are better than our record. But things are never that easy. I expect BC to come out early trying to establish the run (when we should be passing). I think we will struggle and the game will be close. In the second half we finally open it up and pull away.
Final Score: BC 28, Wake Forest 20