We all knew this part of the schedule would be rough. But reading about it in March is one thing. Sitting through it in September is another. I guess I would feel better if we had kept the USC game closer. As is, this should be a severe test for Addazio. I hope he gets creative and plays to win instead of just keeping it close.
What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
On a day with a lot of exciting games, it is encouraging that we still got a national slot at 3:30. We are coming off a 2-10 season and are heavy underdogs, yet ESPN felt this was still one of their better matchups for the afternoon. I think it shows the resiliency of our TV product (partially based on market size). If or when the football factories split from the NCAA, I think BC can still have a seat at the table.
Three Simple Keys
1. Break tendency on offense. Opponents don't have much tape on BC's new system yet, but I think everyone knows we want to run. This has enabled some surprise plays and deep balls, but I don't think it is a good idea to be that predictable early. I would love to see BC start the game passing. It might keep the 'Noles off balance for a bit. And it might keep our Offensive line from getting blown up.
2. Don't be afraid to blitz Winston. He's going to run but we may get a big play or some stops if we pressure him early.
3. Give Rettig some short passes. Against USC he was rushed constantly. A series of short passes and three-step drops might help the offense move and keep him upright.
-- Florida State has covered their last two double-digits spreads against BC
-- Addazio has yet to face a Top 10 team at Temple or BC
-- Fisher is 11-6 on the road
The current line is BC+21.5
BC has a winning record in Tallahassee but a losing record to Florida State in Chestnut Hill.
Saturday is filled with interesting matchups. Wake Forest at Clemson is something to keep an eye. I expect Clemson to blow them out, but a close game will be an indicator if we can hang with the Tigers. I am also interested to see how Army does against Louisiana Tech. Everyone (including me) assumes we will beat Army, but last year was a bit of a wake up call.
I hope to see...
Better Offensive Line play. As I said at the time, USC wasn't mistake filled. Our guys were just pushed around and too slow. I didn't expect miracles overnight, but Offensive Line is one of the areas where good position coaching can cover a lot of flaws. If we are every going to be great again, it will come from better line play and that comes from coaching. Last week the OL didn't look good. Last year against FSU, the line looked bad. Let's hope we start to see real improvement. It will bode well for the future.
BC is in trouble if...
We cannot get the ball to Amidon. Even in tight coverage, we need to find ways to get him the ball. If he is not getting the ball, it probably means we are struggling on offense.
I made a habit of picking BC to win every game in these previews until things got really dark under Spaz. As I explained when I started picking against BC, I honestly couldn't talk myself into a win. I feel the same way this week. I am not off of the Addazio bandwagon at all. It is more a case of BC not having the pieces to win this type of game and FSU finally getting to the stage where they don't beat themselves. I think BC will try to establish the run early and when it doesn't work try to play catch up. I won't be discouraged as it is all part of the recovery process.
Final Score: Florida State 31, BC 10