Now we are playing with house money. We are going bowling and have exceeded most people's expectations. But I don't want to stop. I don't think Addazio is content to stop either. With that in mind, BC needs to come out fired up Saturday night. This isn't a must win, but a win would be one more big boost to the program.
What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
In one of my spitballing posts years ago I thought BC might have been a good landing spot for Bobby Petrino after his Arkansas fiasco. I knew then that it would never happen, but I still don't know if we should ever write off any coach (in any sport) due to baggage. All hires have their issues. The nice thing about people with baggage, is that most of us know the issues up front. If you can manage around them and the coach is willing to adapt to BC, it can work.
Three Simple Keys
1. Don't abandon the power runs. With Hilliman dinged up, BC might try to do more on the edges or even pass. That's a mistake. The OL handles the power stuff well. It also sucks in the defense and creates other things. Let Willis and Outlow run between the tackles if necessary.
2. Bring more pressure than ever. In both their road losses (UVA and Clemson) Louisville's QBs were flustered and sacked. That's how you slow them down. BC cannot ease off or play back.
3. A big game from Keyes. It feels like feast or famine with him. We need a big game and no missed tackles and no bad penalties.
-- Petrino is 29-21 all-time on the road
-- Addazio is 2-3 as a home underdog while at BC
-- Addazio is 7-6 in ACC games
The current line is BC+3
BC and Louisville played three times when both were independent. The teams played twice when Louisville was an independent and BC was part of the Big East. During the last matchup, Louisville was a member of Conference USA and BC was still in the Big East. This is the first game when both are in the same conference.
There is not one game that has huge consequences for BC. However, three of the ranked ACC teams (Clemson, Georgia Tech and Duke) all have conference games. From a ACC respectability standpoint, it would be best if none of them trip up this weekend.
I hope to see...
The defense dominate the 4th quarter. Do the other teams adjust to our blitz? Are our guys tired? Is it the offenses fault? It doesn't really matter. Too often the opponent is able to move the ball late and make these last few wins tight. I don't want that to happen this week.
BC is in trouble if...
Murphy is really hurt. After the limp at Lane, many commented and noted that he's been gimpy in the past and always managed to recover. I hope so. I hope I am just reading too much into it. If he cannot move well, BC will have trouble moving the ball.
I am not comparing our talent to Florida State, but the Louisville-Florida State game was telling to me as the late 'Noles scores came on the ground. I think we will do the same thing. Like last week, Day needs to remain patient and the big plays will come. It will be a back and forth game, but a few long TD runs in the 4th seal it for BC.
Final Score: BC 28, Louisville 24