I've worried about the time off for two weeks. Now we are back to playing football. But will it be the explosive dynamic football BC played during the win steak or will all that momentum be gone? Addazio pulled out "must wins" when he needed them most. This game is not in that category, but it is a good measurement of this team's maturity and skill. NC State is reeling and BC is rested. A good team wins this game.
What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
Some in the North Carolina media are wondering why BC has dominated this series in football (8 wins, 4 losses) since joining the conference. Much of this is luck and timing, but I do think TOB was a big factor. He lost to a really bad NC State team in 2006 with some terrible decisions. Then from 2007 until 2012, it was very important to Gene to beat TOB, so it became important to Jags and Spaz. (Remember Spaz even ran up the score on TOB in 2009. Addazio's dominance over Doeren (3-1) also has a TOB element. Addazio won the first two games when he took over Spaz's roster and Doeren had TOB's former players.
Three Simple Keys
1. Establish the run early. Notre Dame and Clemson both ran on NC State successfully. We should be able to run also. It will really come down to the OLine.
2. Great DB play. Finley is pretty accurate and will dink and dunk us to death if given the chance. We need good tackling. A pick wouldn't hurt either.
3. No mistakes from Brown. NC State will bring pressure. He can't chuck up the ball or take bad sacks.
-- Doeren is 1-0 at Alumni
-- BC leads the all time series 9-5
-- Addazio is 3-1 on Senior Day
The current line is BC+3
I don't know how much context this needs, but TOB's record at BC (74-45) was dramatically better than his record at NC State (40-35).
Wake Forest and Syracuse is pretty important to those BC fans who want a Pinstripe Bowl invite. The Orange need to win two out of three to get bowl eligible. Wake can do us a huge favor by beating them this week.
I hope to see...
A big turnout. This weather should be ok. The time slot is not a burden. BC gave the fans a great experience last time on the field. Let's follow it up with a nice showing in the stands.
BC is in trouble if...
There is no pressure on Finley. I don't want to blitz him Don Brown style, but the front four does need to make some plays and collapse the pocket. If Finley has time, he will pick apart BC's D.
Even before BC's turnaround, I liked our chances in this matchup. If you include how both teams are entering this game, I like it even more. I think BC establishes the run early and breaks NC State's spirit.
Final Score: BC 28, NC State 16