Friday, November 19, 2021

BC-Florida State preview

Last week was the model. BC was supposed to be an explosive team that did just enough on D to win. We know it didn't work when the injury bug hit, but now it is our time to shine. We are not playing for anything other than respect and fun, so let's go out there and end the season lighting up scoreboard!

What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
I haven't mentioned the men's basketball team, but the early start showed some promise. The defensive efforts and system is much improved. The offense is still a work in progress but that is to be expected with the new faces. How they play in Florida will be a great early indicator. Too often in the last decade we looked overmatched in these seasonal tournaments. I am hoping Grant gets them playing hard the whole time and there are no letdowns or checking out.

Three Simple Keys
1. Keep attacking downfield. We knew Jurk would target Zay deep but getting the other WRs and the Tight Ends into the deep routes was refreshing. We need to stay aggressive. It will open up things for everyone.
2. Slow their run game. We are giving up too many big plays on the ground and can't have them control the tempo. We need this to be fast paced. A grind it out run first game plays to their strength.
3. Keep forcing turnovers. Bend but don't break is not good for our nerves, but it is all we can do with the talent available.

Gambling Notes
-- The road team is 8-7 in this series since BC joined the ACC
-- FSU leads the series 12-5
-- The teams did not play last year
The current line is BC-2.5

This is the latest in the season that FSU has come north to play at Alumni.

Scoreboard Watching
Clemson vs Wake. I know Wake lost to an ACC team already but that was a non-conference game. I would love to see them 7-0 in ACC play going into our game.

I hope to see...
Jurk run a bit less. He was impressive and tough but in an ideal world he would take less of a beating.

BC is in trouble if...
We give up another special teams TD. We are lucky it didn't sink us last week.

Bottom Line
I really like this matchup for BC. FSU can run the ball and showed against Miami that they can hang around, but I don't think that will be an issue this week. As long as we don't have mental lapses or special teams breakdowns, I think we can pull away in the second half.
Final Score: BC 35, Florida State 20

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