The Championship Game will decide the Orange Bowl, but every other ACC-affiliated bowl will decide this week what it will do if BC wins and what it will do if VT wins. I know Gene's focus is on the ACC Championship Game, but I hope he is selling BC to the Peach/Chick-fil-A folks in case things don't break our way in Jacksonville. This is what we know.
If BC wins the ACC Championship game, we go to the Orange Bowl. No obstacles and no chance that BC would be selected for the BCS Championship.
What happens if BC loses the ACC Championship Game?
Due to the "BC rule" ACC-affiliated bowls cannot bypass an ACC team for another ACC team that is two games behind the bypassed team in the standings. For example BC finished 6-2 in conference and Clemson finished 5-3. Any ACC bowl can select Clemson before they select BC. Florida State finished 4-4 in conference. A bowl cannot select the 'Noles before they select BC. However, a bowl could select Florida State before selecting Clemson because of the standings rule. Confused yet?
So if BC losses only four ACC teams can be selected ahead of BC. Those teams are Virginia, Virginia Tech, Clemson and Wake Forest. If VT beats us, they are going to the Orange Bowl. The Peach would go next. They will not select Wake. They would likely select Clemson. That would leave BC, UVA and WF for the Gator. The Gator would not want BC back a month after the ACC Championship Game. They would likely select Virginia. The Champs Bowl would then have to select BC or Wake. Wake does not have a good travel rep and does not have BC's television success. BC would probably go here and play a middle of the pack Big 10 team.
What about the Peach stuff?
The ACC gets involved in the bowl process. They try to make everyone happy and they don't want the loser of the ACCCG to be penalized for playing in the conference title game. So if BC loses, I could see the ACC suggesting the Peach take BC. Then Clemson could go to the Gator Bowl and the folks in Jacksonville would be happy. UVA would be screwed in this scenario which makes me think the ACC won't meddle too much. The Peach might take a chance if they can get a good SEC team that sells tickets (like Auburn).
But as all BC fans know, the bowl season never breaks our way. Fortunately we control our own destiny!