Sleeper, Bubble team or NIT?
Expectations were low for the basketball team. Preseason, we were picked anywhere from 8th to 11th in the ACC. A good start, followed by a sloppy holiday schedule and concluded with two ugly non-conference losses has further muddled the outlook. How good is this team? I don't know. The ACC slate will tell us that. What this team needs to accomplish to continue our current tournament run is a little more clear.
Where we are
Real Time RPI: 110
Sagarin Rating: 109
Pomeroy Rating: 91
ESPN Bracketology: 11 seed with 7 ACC teams getting in
Bracketology 101: Last four out
Power Conference Rating: the ACC is 4th
Despite what ESPN says, if the season ended today we would not be invited to the Big Dance. In fact the Robert Morris loss and the Kansas blowout will stay with us long past this week. Unless we have a winning ACC record, those two games will have us on the bubble.
If we have a winning ACC conference record...we're in. No question. The conference is not at its best, but this wouldn't be debatable.
If we go 8-8 in the ACC...we are probably in. We will be called a bubble team, but since the ACC expanded with Florida State,
every only one ACC team with a 8-8 conference record or better has not been invited to the tournament.
If we go 7-9...I think we are out. Robert Morris comes back to haunt.
If we go 5-11...that would leave us at 15-15. We are not even going to the NIT.
I still think 7 wins is possible. First the team needs to get out of its funk. A strong showing against Wake this weekend would be refreshing.