Monday, January 11, 2010

What can the stats tell us about the basketball swoon

From the beginning of this blog I've been a big believer in college hoops stat guy Kenpom. While trying to figure out what is wrong this year, I went to look at his BC profile and compared it to our 2005 profile. I assumed we were better shots in 2005. I was wrong (2005-- Effective FG%: 49.2 [177]; 2010-- Effective FG%: 49.1 [167]). In fact our effective FG% is better now than then.

So what's the reason for the struggles now? I think the biggest factor is that we are not getting to the line as often as 2005 did. Back then we generated 23.6% of our points from foul shooting. Now we only get 18.7%. Why the difference? I don't think we are taking those shots close to the basket that invite physical play and fouls. It is such a waste too since, Sanders and Trapani close to the basket should mean easy points.


Our defense was also better then but there is no smoking gun to the difference. We just did every defensive thing a little better then.

So can we fix it before Duke? Kenpom doesn't think so...he only gives us a 3% chance to beat the Blue Devils.

Labels: ,

4 Comments:

At 11:54 AM, Blogger mod34b said...

ATL -- is your comparison valid?

You are comparing (for the most part) BC's pre-conference 2010 results with BC's pre- and conference 2005 results. Apples and Oranges? or as the Brits would say, Chalk and Cheese.

Odds are that as we face much stiffer competition in conference play, our stats will head south along with the W-L record such that nothing about BC '10 will resemble BC '05

The not-getting-to-the-line point is interesting. It really seems to be a shorthand way of saying that our offense does not function that way it is designed to function - bad execution.

 
At 11:58 AM, Blogger Claver2010 said...

All I'm looking for is effort for a change or else this will get ugly very quickly (to quote one of Spaz's motivational halftime speeches). On the bright side, Maine probably only had a 3% chance of beating us!

 
At 1:37 PM, Blogger JC said...

For some reason, I am optimistic about tonight. I think we will get to the line, shoot well and rebound. The team will certainly be up for the game and I predict a narrow victory.

 
At 2:56 AM, Blogger baobao said...

There was this guy who believed very much in true love and decided to take his time to wait for his right girl to appear.
nike shox nz shoes
cheap nike shox nz shoes
nike shoxs
Chaussures puma
wholesale nike shox nz shoes
cheap ugg boots
nike womens shoes
hommes nike chaussures
femmes nike
mens puma shoes
hommes puma chaussures
femmes puma chaussures
Nike Air Max 360 chaussures
Nike Air Max 90 Chaussures
Nike Air Max 95 Chaussures
Nike Air Max Ltd Chaussures
nike shox
Nike Max Tn Chaussures
nike 360 air max
nike running shoes
NIKE air shoes
nike shox nz shoes online store
nike air max
Nike Air TN Spider Chaussures
Nike Max Plata Chaussures
Nike R4 Plating Chaussures
Nike Shox Rival Velcro
Nike Shox Deliver Chaussures
Nike Shox Classic Chaussures
Nike NZ Plating Chaussures
wholesale nike shoes
nike shox torch
sneakers shoes
Nike Tn
discount nike shoes
nike shox r4
tn dollar
cheap nike shoes
nike tennis shoes
cheap nike shox
free shipping shoes
Paypal Credit card Accept
nike shoes
nike discount shoes
cheap puma shoes
nike shox shoes
chaussures nike
nike free shoes
buy shoes online
You may painfully regret, only to realise that it is too late.

 

Post a Comment

<< Home