For the first time since I've been blogging, I really don't feel like BC can win this game. We've been underdogs many times, but there was always a part of me that felt "if X happens and Y can do this, and they screw up..." Not this time. For an underdog to have a chance you need a coach who believes and designs a gameplan that can exploit the other team. I don't see it this week, especially without Montel Harris.
Overlooked storyline for the game: the midseason replacement
Although some are calling for it, I don't expect Spaz to get fired midseason. If BC makes a change, it shouldn't be until after the season is over. If you want an example of why you don't make a change midseason, you need only to look across the field. Dabo Swinney was an interim who did well enough to keep the job. While that seems like a great thing now, I feel like Clemson would have been better served to follow a process and look beyond Tommy Bowden's staff. (And even though things are humming now, I don't think Dabo is a great coach who will deliver every year.)
Three Simple Keys
1. Play fast. This might be totally counter intuitive given that Clemson wants to play uptempo, but I think if we came out in a shotgun, no huddle offense, it would surprise them, put Rettig in a rhythm and take pressure off of our OL.
2. Make Boyd run. Is anyone else sick of watching teams kill us with bubble screens? Let's press a little in coverage and rush the passer. I know he can run, but I think that is less dangerous than getting picked apart again.
3. Get the ball to Kimble and Finch in space. We cannot consistently execute a screen pass, but I still think we should get the ball to Kimble and Finch in the passing game. Both have the chance to break something.
-- Spaz is 4-4 in ACC road games
-- BC is 2-3-1 in Clemson all time
-- Clemson hasn't started a season 6-0 since 2000
The current line is BC+21
Current Clemson Offensive Coordinator Chad Morris was visited by Jeff Jagodzinski when Morris was still coaching high school football in Texas.
Central Michigan at NC State. NC State might be our last chance at win No. 2. Let's see if they play down to their MAC opponent. If they struggle, it might provide BC with a little hope.
I hope to see...
BC keep Clemson out of the endzone. Like 2009, I think this might be one of those games where they attempt a lot of field goals.
BC is in trouble if…
Clemson scores in the 30s. Even if Spaz agrees with me and we go uptempo, I don't think we can score more than 28.
I want to win. I want to win in the worst way. I know the danger in a strong second half is that we might not fire Spaz, but that doesn't matter to me at this point. These games have become painful and dull. It would be nice to have BC feel real again for a game or two. As much as I hope though, I don't see it. I think Clemson runs away with this game.
Final Score: Clemson 42, BC 10