Thursday, August 30, 2012

Season Prediction Part III: what will happen

I am a believer in Chase Rettig. I like what Doug Martin brings to the offense and the program. I think there is more talent on defense than people realize. Yet I don't have faith in the man in charge. Readers criticize me for kicking Spaz while he's down or for spreading too much pessimism. That's not my intention. I just think back to multiple games last year that turned on coaching decisions. Was it bad luck? Bad coaching? I don't know. But I don't think it will all be fixed by a few staff changes and Spaz being another year wiser. As I said in the best case scenario, there are still a lot of good pieces on this team. The schedule is manageable. The ultimate question is can we get out of our own way? [This is my official prediction for the season.]

What will happen

Miami. Win. I think this will be a low scoring defensive game. I give BC the edge with Rettig making some big passes down the stretch.

Maine. Win. No underdog scare. BC controls fairly comfortably.

at Northwestern. Loss. This is one of those games where I think coaching will become a factor. We're on the road against a team that can put up points and we waste too many opportunities.

Clemson. Loss. I think this will be a lot like the Northwestern game in that BC can't keep up in a shoot out only this time against a better offense.

at Army. Win. A solid performance that gets us back above .500 and thinking bowl game.

at Florida State. Loss. I expect Florida State to be a Top 5 team at this point. I think we will give them a tough game but not have enough to pull out a win.

at Georgia Tech. Loss. I think their offense will cause us problems. Unlike the other shootouts, I actually think we can score on Georgia Tech. I predict it will come down to coaching and Paul Johnson will make a call that changes the game in their favor.

Maryland. Win. In every scenario I see us beating Maryland. I think we will pound it again and I think they will really struggle to score on us.

at Wake Forest. Win. Even though Wake is in a down cycle, this is a nice win for the program and Rettig. Getting a W on the road when the season is still teetering provides a nice confidence boost.

Notre Dame. Loss. We play them hard (as usual) but lose on some big special teams plays. Dropping to 0-4 against the Irish hurts Spaz with the casual BC fan.

Virginia Tech. Loss. I think this game is close and Spaz goes ultra conservative, but the Hokies hang on.

at NC State. Loss. I fear the team will check out at this point and NC State will still have a lot to play for.

That leave BC 5-7 (3-5) and at home during bowl season. The new Athletic Director fires Spaz shortly after the NC State game and we begin anew. 

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6 Comments:

At 11:11 AM, Blogger diabetic tackle said...

well thought out ATL though the Miami game is a loss. Speed kills and Luke's gone.

 
At 11:41 AM, Blogger knucklehead said...

The Miami game is paramount.

I think we start off 2-2.

If a .500 season is in the balance in the final game against NC State we would win for sure in Chestnut Hill. It is 50-50 down there. They have a VERY underrated fan base. Remember a game in Raleigh when Matt Ryan was Junior or Senior where they threw a bomb into the back corner of the endzone to beat us with basically no time left. Game sucked.

 
At 12:19 PM, Blogger Owen Kehoe said...

New contributor here... I like this prediction but I think we can get wins at Northwestern and at NC State... We know that we can play Northwestern close and we know that NC state is beatable... I think it is possible for us to beat the Irish if the game gets into a defensive battle. And against Georgia Tech I think we could win catching them on an off week. As we saw last year they give up a lot of points and there offense is very inconsistent sometimes. That could put us at 9-3 with that magic 6-2 ACC RECORD and perhaps put us in contention for champ game. I'm super excited to see this new offense and I hope the rest of the fan base is also. Could be a dark horse this year.

 
At 12:28 PM, Blogger mod34b said...

I am noticing an obsession, err, quirk, ah, em, a theme. 

at Northwestern. Loss. This is one of those games where I think coaching [read: Spaz] ]will become a factor. 


at Georgia Tech. Loss. I think their offense will cause us problems. Unlike the other shootouts, I  predict it will come down to coaching and Paul Johnson [read: not Spaz never Spaz] ]will make a call that changes the game in their favor.


Notre Dame. Loss. We play them hard (as usual) but lose on some big special teams plays. Dropping to 0-4 against the Irish hurts  Spazwith the casual BC fan. [thus making Spaz's departure more understandable to the casual fan]

Virginia Tech. Loss. I think this game is close and Spaz goes ultra conservative, but the Hokies hang on.

That leave BC 5-7 (3-5) and at home during bowl season. [all but guaranteeing the demise of Spaz in contrast to saying 6-6 which might alter this certainty ]The new Athletic Director fires Spaz shortly after the NC State game and we being anew. 

BC blogland looks for new whipping boy 

 
At 1:08 PM, Blogger Owen Kehoe said...

That was my optimistic viewpoint... Realistically
4-8 with wins at army, vs Miami, at wake, and against Maine. Maybe a fifth win against an Irish team looking ahead of us

 
At 1:18 PM, Blogger Big Jack Krack said...

I have already checked in for my flight to Boston. September has always been a special month for me - birthday and all. :-)

I think this first game is going to much more exciting than anything we have seen under Spaziani. And I also think we have a great chance of winning, even though I am always afraid of their speed.

Owen - GT has a week off before we play them in Atlanta - and we have FSU the previous week in Tallahassee. Advantage GT this year. It doesn't mean they will win, but the Yellowjackets have the advantage going in.

I like your optimism.

Go BC - beat Miami. Let's get this first one!!

See you all there.

 

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