Thursday, October 24, 2019

BC-Clemson preview

What a difference a win makes. Instead of dreading this game, I actually have some hope. Is BC pulling off the biggest upset in program history? Probably not. Will I be cursing Addazio by the end of BC's first possession? Probably. But does BC have an outside chance to make this interesting? Yes.

What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
Amidst all the speculation on Addazio's future, there is still plenty of talk of where BC belongs and who is responsible for the conference shift and who gets credit, etc. I can't believe we are still having this conversation in 2019. Regardless of what UConn did or does, BC is in the Big East in a way that UConn is not. We are in the same conference as Miami, Pitt, Virginia Tech and Syracuse. Throw in the weird Notre Dame relationship and Louisville (who weren't a real Big East team) and we are clearly where we belong. But what is not discussed in the who belongs where and who deserves credit nonsense is that BC's current position was somewhat inevitable. All the original Big East Football schools aside from Temple ended up in Power 5 conferences. Defilippo will always take credit, but it probably would have happened with or without him. The only real big decision looming is what to do when the P5 conferences break away from the NCAA and become a true minor league. I think that is coming. I just hope our leadership has a plan.

Three Simple Keys
1. Don't abandon the running game. Like everyone else, Clemson will sell out to stop our run game. They will probably be more successful doing so than others. The key for BC is to stay with it. It is the only advantage we have. We need to keep pounding them. Eventually, big plays will break.
2. Bring lots of pressure. Lawrence can handle the pressure. But I like our chances of coming at him instead of playing lots of zone. Our DBs can't be trusted in lots of zone against mediocre QBs. Against a great one, they will be killed.
3. Grosel has to complete at least 50% of his passes. He doesn't need to be aggressive or make huge throws. But he has to keep Clemson honest and hit some passes.

Gambling Notes
-- BC has lost eight straight to Clemson
-- Dabo is 70-7 at home
-- Addazio is 16-16 on the road as BC's coach
The current line is BC+33.5

BC hasn't won at Clemson since this game.

Scoreboard Watching
Florida State and Syracuse is somewhat interesting. Both teams' seasons are teetering. A big loss for either might have them packing it in when they play us.

I hope to see...
Some kickoffs in bounds. Who knows what was going on last week. Hopefully it is corrected.

BC is in trouble...
If the DBs are lost again. The young guys played well last week (and arguably better than most of the starters from earlier in the year). This is a different sort of game. If they allow Clemson guys to run free, BC is toast.

Bottom line
Clemson has the occasional hiccup. If our OLine dominates and if the D is serviceable, I think BC can make this an interesting game. I think it is a slugfest and but BC attempts field goals instead of going for it and can't keep up.
Finale Score: Clemson 24, BC 16

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