Season Prediction Part II: best case scenario
"If this guy plays well...if the Oline comes together...if the defense blitzes everyone..." Every best case scenario includes a lot of "if"s. Who knows? The stars could align this year. There is some talent in key areas. The schedule is manageable and we have a new staff that might ignite a confidence and aggression that has been simmering for four years. What's keeping me from going all in on this year though is not really knowing how Addazio will coach and manage this team. With TOB we always knew what to expect. Jags was a bit of a wild card, but there were still enough known elements so that we entered each season with an idea of the upside. With Spaz, I always hoped for an upside but never really believed in one. This year I don't know. And that unknown makes the "best case" possible and for that I am excited. The following is not what I think will happen, but just the idea that it could happen is welcome.
Best Case Scenario
Villanova. Win. This game should not be close. We look sharp right away and pass and run at will.
Wake Forest. Win. Our first test. Rettig puts up big numbers and we look like a productive offense.
at USC. Win. This is the critical game of the season. A win here raises expectations around the program and turns heads nationally. I think our defense gives USC trouble and Chase looks great in his "home coming."
Florida State. Loss. After the high, comes the low (it wouldn't be BC football any other way.) I think Florida State's explosiveness gives us trouble and we make some critical mistakes.
Army. Win. We control an Army game as we should have last year.
at Clemson. Loss. Sort of like Florida State. I worry about any uptempo team this year. I don't think we are talented enough to win shootouts yet. With the loss, BC falls out of the polls again.
at North Carolina. Loss. I know it is different coaches and different eras, but Chapel Hill has been a tough place for us. I think the struggles continue this year.
Virginia Tech. Win. Snaps the losing streak and gets people thinking a winning season and bowl will happen.
at New Mexico State. Win. Not even as close as the Army game.
North Carolina State. Win. I think this will be a low-scoring, defensive struggle. We prevail late.
at Maryland. Win. At this point we are a hot team and they are sleep walking through their final ACC season. We win by 14.
at Syracuse. Win. We finish with a once unthinkable five-game win streak.
In this scenario BC would finish 9-3 (5-3). This sort of season would be huge. Not only would we be ranked, but Addazio would be one of the hottest coaches in football. It would also be one of the largest turnarounds in recent college football.
But BC is still BC and a 5-3 ACC mark wouldn't put us in a great bowl. Instead we would probably end in the Sun Bowl. I see us playing maybe Oregon State. BC wins and finishes at a remarkable 10-3 and ranked just outside the Top 10. It is a long shot...but it could happen.
Wednesday, what I think will really happen.