Showing posts with label BC vs UMass. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BC vs UMass. Show all posts

Saturday, September 11, 2021

BC gets the win but also a wake up call

Lots of people (myself included) said the schedule and the roster might lead to a special season for BC. Saturday's win over UMass was a reminder that BC still has plenty of flaws and needs to improve before ACC play begins. But the biggest issue for this game and the season is Phil Jurkovec's health. The BC QB hurt his wrist early in the game and never returned. BC provided very little detail about the extent of the injury (although Hafley expressed optimism). Without Jurk, the offense still scored but mostly by just running the ball down UMass' throat. The passing game was much more limited.

The D was a bigger concern. They allowed UMass to move the ball with ease. While the turnovers and some goalline stands gave BC enough cushion, the pass coverage and QB pressures need to get better quickly.

A win is a win. I understand that and hope the staff is using these games to figure out what they have. Let's also hope that Jurk is back very soon.

Thursday, September 09, 2021

BC-UMass preview

Scheduling is an art, not a science. I don't have a problem scheduling UMass. They're close. It is a FBS win. We should encourage regional football. I even understand playing them this early. This allows Hafley and company to ease into the season. But it is hard to get excited about this game. When your primary concern is coming out unscathed, it is probably not an ideal opponent

What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
The Big Ten-ACC-Pac 12 Alliance generated a lot of social media talk during last weekend's slate of games. I don't really get it or see it as a SEC vs us situation. In my opinion, the Alliance was just a counter measure to keep all the power going to the SEC. But the creep to true professionalism won't stop. And I don't think all the Alliance members are going to be on the same page when this goes to the next level. For BC, it makes sense. We just need to keep grouping ourselves with like-minded programs (private schools that somewhat care about academics). So while it is nice to see an Alliance partner -- like UCLA -- score a win over a big, bad SEC power, for BC it doesn't really mean much. We just need the Alliance to buy time until we know what we want to do with our sports programs.

Three Simple Keys
1. Execute better.
Last weekend was a blowout, but there were still plenty of dropped passes and off target passes. That needs to be cleaned up this week.
2. Get pressure without blitzing. Someone in the front needs to establish himself as a dominant player. It would be nice to beat UMass without tipping off future opponents.
3. Avoid turnovers. Don't do anything stupid and give UMass hope.

Gambling Notes
-- BC leads the series 22-5.
-- BC has won 10 straight in the series.
-- Since making the jump to FBS, UMass has yet to beat a Power 5 team
The current line is BC-37

Factoid
BC last played in Amherst in 1982.

Scoreboard watching
It is sort of a slow weekend for ACC games. The most relevant to us is probably NC State vs Mississippi State. I don't think the Wolfpack are any better than we are, however, beating MSU would be impressive (or more impressive than wins over Colgate and UMass).

I hope to see...
Jurk leave the game without injury early in the second half. Hafley even mentioned that his brother got on him for leaving Jurk in too long last week. Don't make the same mistake again.

BC is in trouble if...
We turn the ball over five time. That's about it. That is the only way I see us losing.

Bottom Line
I think UMass will go all out to stop the run like Colgate did. Then it is up to our passing threats to light up the scoreboard. I think BC plays better than last week and lots of guys play.
Final Score: BC 49, UMass 10

Sunday, September 02, 2018

Second viewing thoughts and grades: UMass

I was in my car and following the game on my phone, so by the time I watched the game Saturday night, I was calm and knew BC crushed UMass. Had I watched live, the first quarter might have been a little more tense and upsetting. Watching with the outcome known was very calming and reassuring for the season. Brown had been the big question mark (and he looked pretty good). There were a few spotty areas, but this was the start to the season BC needed.

Offense: A-

Statistically Brown was great. Considering his limited preseason, Brown was great. When you factor in the injury, Brown was great. But his passes were a bit off target. I know his completion percentage was good, but he still threw behind some guys or not exactly where the ball should be. Against a better team he will get burned with that stuff. I thought his decisions were good in the passing game. I think he will need to present himself as a running threat in our more challenging games. With the way UMass was biting on the end arounds/sweeps, there could be huge plays for AB if he fakes the handoff.

I know a lot of people wanted Dillon to pad his stats, but I was fine with his game. He didn't get his usual viral highlight, but the pass catching alone showed major improvement. Levy and Bailey were fine. Jones got the TDs, but we had such a size advantage against UMass, I don't know how much of that was him vs our OLine.

Two of White's catches were beautiful. I felt like Smith could have done more after the catch and handoff -- he had space and just didn't get the right hole. Marten had a career day for him. I was a bit surprised none of the other guys turned their catches into big plays.

The OLine was fine. It is hard to judge this game because of two factors that made the whole area muddled. UMass stiacked the box a lot but also was undersized on the DL. We were winning battles but not exploding because of how their back seven played.

Loeffler called a good game. I think it was good to move Brown around. He needs to get used to rollouts and bootlegs since so many teams are going to focus on our run game. I had no problem with the subs in the second half.

Defense: B+

The only surprising part to me was that our defensive line starters didn't dominate in a more pronounced fashion. Allen was fine, but not speeding by the UMass guys. Smith had a nice INT. Ray was fine.

Strachan is another guy who looked good coming back to action. Jones made some nice plays. DePalma got extended playing time.

Sebastian had the biggest coverage breakdown of the game (the first UMass TD) but was ok after. Denis' INT was nice, as was the runback. Harris was fine. Torres was fine.

This was a very vanilla scheme and that's fine. No need to do anything special unless the opponent and game situation calls for it.

Special Teams: B-

I know you can excuse some of the special team's issues to losing our long snapper (Martin), but there were some other issues too.

We allowed a long kick return. We were not aggressive with our own returns...including punt returns.

Overall: A-

I could get nitpicky about the start or letting UMass get some garbage time points, or hammer Addazio for Special Teams but it was a pretty darn good showing. He had the more talented team and they played that way. It was a relatively vanilla approach, but probably what we needed for the start. And to Addazio's credit, the depth and talent improvement is more obvious in a blowout. The second teamers come on and BC still looks better than their FBS opponent.

Next week should be an even easier game, but I think we can trust Addazio not to screw it up. He certainly didn't screw up this game.

Saturday, September 01, 2018

Video roundup

Highlights. 


Addazio's postgame press conference.


BC stomps UMass

It started off a little closer than you like but BC turned it on in the second quarter and never looked back. Great day for AB and everyone else did what they were supposed to do.

More to come tonight and grades up Sunday.

In-game comments post: UMass

It is time. Time for BC Football! Let's have a great year and get off to a great start today.

Leave your thoughts and comments below.

You can also follow me on Twitter.

Thursday, August 30, 2018

BC-UMass preview

I have a weird feeling about this year. As you saw in my predictions, I am skeptical about BC putting it all together. However, when I think about Dillon and the OL, I think we are just going to crush some teams this year. And that is really fun to watch! So let's get this started. BC Football is back and I can't wait.

What's on my mind (not totally related to this game) 
Addazio spent a good portion of his radio show this week talking about how tough the opener is regardless of your opponent. He feels the key is to come away with the W. I understand where he is coming from, but also think it is very limiting. Every year there are opportunities to schedule big games on the opening weekend. When he thinks he has a good team (like this year) Addazio should be more aggressive and schedule an opener that gets people excited and makes a statement in Week 1.

Three Simple Keys
1. Pressure on Ford early. UMass is going to try to establish the pass early. BC needs to disrupt that and get Ford out of the pocket.
2. Run, run and then run some more. UMass had one of the worst run defenses in the country last year. BC needs to hammer them there and not look back.
3. Be careful with the ball. I only see this game being interesting if BC turns the ball over a lot.

Gambling Notes
-- Addazio is 4-1 in openers at BC
-- BC is 21-5-1 all time against UMass
-- Addazio is 16-16 at Alumni
The current line is BC-18

Factoid
Sadly this game is not on local TV. It is frustrating that ESPN, the ACC and BC can't fix that.

Scoreboard Watching
Wake Forest plays an improving Tulane team at Tulane Thursday night. The Deacons will be our first critical game. The Tulane matchup is a chance to see the impact of Wake's early suspensions. I am hoping Wake struggles and comes into our game a mess.

I hope to see...
Matt McDonald play for an extended time during mop up duty. The backup QB always gets to be the most popular guy around. I bought into his hype this summer, so now I want to see the kid play in a real game.

BC is in trouble if...
Dillon gets hurt. He is the most important player on the team and the most critical player for the season. He can't get hurt in this game. We could still beat UMass without him, but it would make a winning season less likely.

Overall
There may be some rust early. UMass may make a play or two. But I don't see this as close or interesting. I think we physically overmatch them and win with ease.
Final Score: BC 35, UMass 13

Saturday, August 25, 2018

UMass wins its opener and talk shifts to BC

UMass crushed Duquense in their first game of the season and yet after the game, the first team Mark Whipple really talked about was BC.


"BC is a different beast next week, not to take anything away from Duquesne. They have bigger guys who are faster. AJ Dillon will have their attention, and their two safeties. (Connor) Strachan is back. We’ll put the tape on Monday morning,” said UMass head coach Mark Whipple.


Despite his struggles reviving UMass, Whipple is a smart guy and a pretty good X and Os coach. I am not fearful but I do think he will have them ready for BC. I also think he will have a wrinkle or two to keep BC on our toes.

The best thing about the UMass win was that it is a reminder that College Football is back.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Second viewing thoughts and grades: UMass

Because of the slow start and allowing an early score, I never felt at ease when the game was live. Watching it back made me appreciate how many things BC actually did well. I feel much better about the team than I did a week ago.

Offense: B-

The more passes I see, the more I realize that Towles is not a great passer. He's not terrible. Both TDs were great throws. He has a live arm. But his placement and accuracy is not great. His high balls are going to get one of our pass catchers really hurt this year. He did make better decisions this week and didn't seem as quick to run.

With every team so focused on stopping BC's running attack, I don't know if we are going to see that many great games from any of the RBs. Hilliman is a power guy who needs holes. He's not someone who is going to make a quick cut in and out of traffic. He was fine in this game. I was glad to see Jones get some touches. Willis had a nice play.

The WRs are playing really well. Smith is a natural and has great hands considering he's only been doing this a few months. Callinan made some really touch catches. As did Walker. Sweeney pulled in one. Collectively their blocking wasn't great (Garrison had one real bad whiff). But they are playing well as a group.

I thought the game plan was decent. The passing attack was effective and we used some more play action. My biggest problem remains the stubbornness of running between the tackles in power set ups. UMass went all out on so many plays to stop the run. Other teams will too. Loeffler has to scheme around it. If he does there will be big plays (I loved the swing to Callinan out of the backfield.)

Defense: A-

We knew the Gutapfel was good. Now we know the other guys have potential to be very good too. Allen, Ray and Landry all dominated at various points. They all got good push and good penetration. Everyone had a turn destroying Comis.

Milano is smart and fast, but I don't think I realized how strong he was until this game. At one point he caught a UMass guy from behind in a near horse collar and basically whipped him to the ground. Strachan was good (but not as dominant as last week). Schwab made plenty of tackles, but also might have been responsible for a coverage breakdown on their one TD.

I've read some criticism of the DBs, but I am not seeing the problems. Big hits again from Harris and Johnson. Good coverage from Moore, Torres and Yiadom. I thought they all played relatively well.

If you had any questions how aggressive BC would be against a conventional Offense, this answered it. Reid brought pressure and even got pressure with just the front four. It did look a lot like Don Brown, with plenty of man coverage. My only gripe was the blown coverage that lead to the TD. The TV guys blamed it on Schwab.

Special Teams: B+

The nice thing about having Willis and Rouse involved in kick and punt returns, respectively, is that they are mature, yet still aggressive. Both make good decisions on when and when not to return. And both helped change field positions.

Our kick coverage was decent. We hit them hard, but still allowed some longish returns. The punt coverage was fine.

I didn't like punting on their side of the field, but that is on Addazio.

We couldn't have a perfect place kicking day, but it was an improvement.

Overall: B-

Just because things worked out, does not mean Addazio is suddenly a genius. He still made questionable decisions throughout the game on 4th down and still burned his timeouts in a relatively close game. However, he showed he can and will go for it on some fourth downs. He also showed a willingness to bounce ideas off of Paul Pasqualoni. That is what Pasqualoni is there for: to be a trusted voice of reason. (Of course Addazio's mentor/buddy is also notoriously conservative.) But enough things improved, including the passing and the Defensive pressure, to give Addazio some credit. I also appreciate that the team put last week behind them and didn't panic when UMass scored.

It was a game BC was supposed to win. They did and now it is on to Blacksburg.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Defense dominates as BC snaps losing streak

I was nervous when UMass went up 7-0 early. But after that one breakdown, the D went on lockdown. The Offense started to wear on them and we even had some big special teams plays and started to pull away for the first win of the year.

While I am pleased (and relieved) with how BC played, there is still plenty to improve. The Offense is still not crisp and Towles' accuracy is still not great. But a win is a win.

I will have second viewing thoughts and grades up late Sunday.

In-game comments post: UMass

Last week saw plenty of excitement and plenty of frustration. Let's hope this week we get to see BC stomp them.

Leave your thoughts and comments below.

You can also follow me on Twitter.

Thursday, September 08, 2016

BC-UMass preview

The game didn't end well last week, but there were signs of life in the program. Now BC needs to regroup and actually win this winnable game. A lot is on Addazio now too. It is one thing to screw up the clock in a game, but coaching is also about what you do between the games. Can he lead the staff and players to fix what they did wrong in Week 1? Can he also look in the mirror and address what he did wrong?

What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
If BC were an actual College Football Playoff contender, this game against UMass would be brilliant! It is a road game where we are closer to the Stadium than the home team. We would get the computer points with committee for going on the road, when in reality BC gets to stick close to a home game schedule. There's no flight. They're back on campus early. The crowd will be very supportive. But since BC's not a contender, this is just a game that keeps travel budgets down and supposedly helps build local interest. I hope UMass improves, because it would be good for BC and not just an easy "W."

Three Simple Keys
1. A few more QB option plays. I know we have a different Offense year to year. I know now we finally have a big armed guy who can stand in the pocket. But if you saw anything last week, it is that Towles can run. And the few read options he did with Willis left him wide open had he kept the ball. It is such a simple play but can be very effective. I also think the threat of Towles running will help his passing.
2. Bring pressure. Defending Georgia Tech is such a unique event that you can't really apply what BC did in that game to any of their upcoming games. This week will be our first glimpse into Reid's plans. It should involve lots of blitzing.
3. Dominate on the line of scrimmage. Our OL and DL is such a huge advantage that it almost doesn't even matter what the skill players do. If we can control both, it will keep UMass off schedule when they are on Offense and BC on schedule when we have the ball.

Gambling Notes
-- BC leads the series 19-2
-- Addazio is 9-3 in non conference games
-- Whipple is 0-7 against Power 5 teams
The current line is BC-16.5

Factoid
This is the second time as a visitor in Foxboro, but BC was the home team 11 times in the Gillette's predecessor.

Scoreboard Watching
The Virginia Tech-Tennessee game is huge for BC. Not only does it influence national opinion on the ACC, but it also gives us a glimpse of our future opponent Virginia Tech.

I hope to see...
A lead so big and comfortable that Wade gets to play in the second half.

BC is in trouble if...
The game is close in the final minutes. Not only am I worried about Addazio, I am also worried about the team pressing. No one wants to start 0-2 and that is when good players and coaches start doing dumb things. If we lose another close game the mood of the team could nose dive and we could have another lost year of BC Football.

Overall
Like the UMass-Florida game, I think it will be a slowish, defensive game to start. I think BC gets a big play in the passing game that opens up the lead. This time Addazio doesn't choke it away.
Final Score: BC 20, UMass 13

Thursday, August 04, 2016

The blessing and course of ESPN3

The UMass game at Gillette will be on ESPN3. Because it is technically an away game, a broadcast was not guaranteed, so getting the ESPN3 feed is a good thing (it will also get a television broadcast in the New England area). It was only a few short years ago that something like this wouldn't have been picked up, so I appreciate the access. I also think the production value of ESPN3 games improves every season. However, the ubiquity of OTT solutions only drives the importance of the ACC Network.

Media presence remains a selling point in college sports. It used to be a big deal to tell kids that all their games would be on TV. Now everyone can say that. As long as mom or dad or grandma has an internet connection, he or she can watch every play. If every game is on the internet, it can't be a big deal to recruits. But saying you are on ESPN or ABC or whatever does mean something. It elevates the importance of the games. The ACC Network won't carry the same level of cache with recruits, but at least it is a dedicated network to their conference. We can also say that all of the games will be on ESPN's family of Networks (since the ACC will be part of it).

Having the ACC Network instead of streaming ESPN3 will also change perception with some of our fans. The diehards are used to streaming the games. But there is still a portion of the fanbase that would rather just turn on their TV and flip to the channel.

With the UMass game picked up, every BC game will have some sort of coverage this season.

Sunday, November 16, 2014

UMass hammers Hoops

The UNH game seemed like a good start. Sunday's tough loss to UMass was probably a wake up call. Maybe we are not going to be that good. The first 30 minutes seemed like a continuation of UNH. BC played good D, Hanlan got his points and BC controlled. The second half was a disaster. I felt like Christian let things get away from the team in the second half, but even after timeouts the guys did not respond. Here are some other thoughts:

-- We desperately need a second scorer. The let Hanlan do it all philosophy worked for the first 20 minutes. After it didn't. No one rebounded and no one hit open shots. It was ugly. What disappointed me most was when Hanlan drove there was rarely anyone near the basket to rebound or ready for a quick pass.
-- Trouble with the press.  18 turnovers. The worst part is that we didn't get the occasional easy basket in the second half. The passes were sloppy and at times guys were getting in each other's way.
-- Missing free throws. It would have made the game closer and changed the pace a bit.

Next up is New Mexico in Puerto Rico. I hope they work out the kinks. I still believe the pieces are there. The guys just have to figure out how to play together.

Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Second viewing thoughts and grade report: UMass

I apologize for the tardiness of this post and the disjointed feel. I never had a chance to watch the game back uninterrupted and only just got around to finishing it Wednesday. Watching it back was much better than watching it live though. During the game, I kept worrying that our failed scoring opportunities would haunt us or that a mistake might be coming. The second viewing showed how much BC controlled the game. If we had been a little more aggressive, the game could have been over after the first quarter.

Offense: B

Let me join in the chorus that praised Murphy. Watching the game back, it became even more clear that he's not going to be shaken. He had a good clock in his head on when to run or when to keep the ball. Even the option like play, he pitched at the last second. His one INT was a bad throw, but most of his passes were pretty good.

Willis didn't look like Andre Williams, but he did the best job of shedding tackles. Rouse had some nice runs on the edge. I was glad to see Hillman get some touches. But as a group we do need bigger plays. Someone has to make a player miss and break a five yard gain into a 50 yard scoring run.

The WRs weren't dynamic but they were effective. Crimmins showed solid hands. Bordner looked comfortable and made the most of being wide open on his TD catch. Phillips got his hand on a potential TD but couldn't pull it in. That would be a more crucial mistake against a better team.

I worried about losing Williams, yet Kramer played very well in his absence. In fact, the unit didn't miss a beat. Gallik had a strong game and help open up many of the lanes in the middle. Silberman looked good. Betancourt had the biggest issues, but it wasn't poor play as much as it was penalties. When he wasn't getting called for something, he actually won many of his battles.

It wasn't just Murphy that looked different. We were much more Oregon this week than Stanford. I liked the heavy motion of the end around (very Oregon). That will keep teams honest. I also like doing the bubble screen when the three WRs are clustered wide together. It is another Oregon staple, but we are doing it with basically three skinny Tight Ends. That will create mismatches going forward. Like so much of the game, this was a watered down version of what we might do this year. It worked well enough. The early drive killers were penalties, not bad calls.

Defense: A-

The Defensive line as a group looked very good. Wujciak wasn't credited with many tackles, but winning his battles and disrupting their runs. Mihalik was also very active and was able to get to the QB. If they control the line like they did against UMass, the D could surprise many people this season.

We saw a healthy mix of rotations at LB. That's a good signal that we finally have depth. Duggan was fine. Keyes made the flashier plays and showed good speed on his delays. Daniels got plenty of time and look fine (though certainly not dominant as one blogger boldly predicted over the summer).

The secondary looked like the weak link. There were a few situations where there seemed to be confusion between the Safeties and Corners about coverage. If UMass' passing had been more accurate, the Minutemen could have exploited more big plays (plenty of guys were open). Williams made a bone-headed late hit that kept a drive alive, but overall the tackling by the DBs was much better.

Like the offense, this scheme was pretty vanilla. We rarely blitzed and played base personnel often. When UMass went four wide, we did counter with a nickel package.

Special Teams: B-

The few kick returns were solid. We didn't get to show much on the punts as the pinned us back. Howell punted well, but I am a bit worried about his field goals. The miss was close enough that he needs to make that in a tight game.

Overall: B

The gameplan was solid. But I thought the best bit of coaching by Addazio was the halftime. Instead of getting frustrated with not converting the early drives into TDs, the team remained poised. You could see it in how he led them back on the field. And we kept running the ball without changing the gameplan. We used the timeouts well enough and at least attempted a two-minute drill. I didn't love the rotating kickers, but I understand why he did it.

The main point of this game was not to screw it up. I found it encouraging, but we should know a lot more about the team after the Pitt game.

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Murphy puts on show against Minutemen

While the win over UMass is only one game, this BC offense will feel different from any we've seen in 25 years (or maybe even 35 years). Unlike past run-first BC squads, this one truly has a mobile QB. It was Tyler Murphy's feet that kept drives alive and it was Tyler Murphy's run that finally broke open the game. The transfer QB also threw a nice TD pass to Josh Bordner. It wasn't a perfect day for Murph or the D, but it was a good start. This is the type of game that builds confidence, yet also leaves the coaches with plenty to improve.

I am on the road, so I don't know when I will put up the grades and second viewing thoughts, but it will probably come Monday. Before then, I will have some other post and thoughts on the game. Including some pics from people at the game.

In-game comments post: UMass

A new season starts against an old foe. However, now UMass is FBS we can call it the "Battle of the Bay State." If the season is going to be special, it starts today. Leave your comments and thoughts below.

You can also follow me on Twitter.

Friday, August 29, 2014

Game Watches: UMass

Labor Day Weekend makes scheduling Game Watches a little tricky, but some local BC Chapters are getting the season off to a strong start. The game is on ESPN3 so that means watching a stream somewhere. But the good news is that most bars will stream any game if enough fans get together. If your Chapter is hosting an event and it is not listed, post it in the comments section.

Chicago Game Watch
Nic and Dino's Tripoli Tap
1147 W Armitage (Armitage Brown/Purple Line L)
Chicago

Dallas Game Watch
Corner Bar
4830 McKinney Ave.
Dallas

New York City Game Watch
Joshua Tree
513 3rd Avenue (between 34th and 35th Street)
New York, N.Y.

San Diego Game Watch
The Beer Company
602 Broadway St.
San Diego

San Francisco Game Watch
Shanghai Kelly's
2064 Polk St.
San Francisco

Thursday, August 28, 2014

BC-UMass preview

Despite this nonsense, no one really cares about this game. But I will keep pounding the drum that good UMass Football is good for BC. Will this game make much of a difference for either team or football in the Bay State? Probably not. Even if the Minutemen pull off an upset, few outside the hardcore fans will remember it years from now. In 2014 this game is not about building a rivalry or changing the football culture in New England. It is about BC starting its second season with Addazio. And for that, I am excited.

What's on my mind (not totally related to this game)
For me -- and a few other BC fans -- Mark Whipple is our bad penny. When he was winning big at UMass, he seemed so much more dynamic than TOB. When the BC job opened, so many expected him to get the job. Now years later as he has bounced around college and the NFL, his luster is certainly gone. I don't begrudge him, but I don't look back on what might have been had he taken over in 2007. Will he be able to lift UMass out of the depths of FBS? I don't know. It is a young man's game and UMass' commitment to football is always in doubt. If it doesn't work out in Amherst, I am sure he will show up somewhere else in football where he will face BC.

Three Simple Keys
1. Rush for 250 yards or more. We are a young team and Whipple knows how to prepare for Brown's Defense. If we want to control the tempo and the scoreboard we need to run the ball over and over. I don't care if one runner dominates or if it is a group effort. I just think we need to run for at least 250 yards to win.
2. Convert field goal attempts. Freese was one of the underappreciated aspects of last year's team. Howell is not nearly as sharp. Conditions and the surface should be pretty ideal. He needs to build his confidence.
3. Get at least three sacks. Because of their history, I expect a little cat and mouse between Whipple and Brown. But even if we ease off of the blitzing, there should still be some pressure that comes organically.

Gambling Notes
-- Addazio is 3-0 in season openers as a head coach. (All were against Villanova.)
-- BC has lost five straight road openers.
-- BC leads the series 18-5.
The current line is BC-17

Factoid
BC last played in Foxboro in 1987. We lost to Penn State 27-17.

Scoreboard Watching
I am interested in how Pitt does against Delaware. This is a short week for both teams. Delaware is a good FCS program, but Pitt should win. The best indicator for our game is if Delaware can run the ball on them.

I hope to see...
Murphy look really poised. I don't think we are going to air it out. I also don't think the environment will create much pressure on him. But that doesn't mean that he won't be nervous or make mistakes. Ideally he will look like an experienced fifth-year senior. If he's calm and confident, it can carry BC a long way this season.

BC is in trouble if...
UMass scores early. I know Villanova took an early lead last year and we came back, but this is different. The game is on the road. We are playing an FBS team. We are young. Things could unravel. That is why I want to establish the run in the first quarter.

Bottom Line
I don't think anything will be easy this year, but I am not truly worried about blowing this game. I think we have enough of a talent advantage, that our inexperience won't be an issue. BC will take control in the first half and win by a comfortable margin.
Final Score: BC 31, UMass 13

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Predict the attendance for BC-UMass


A vocal group of BC fans have long proclaimed that attendance at home games would be better if Alumni had more parking and friendlier tailgating rules. I have never bought into that logic, but it has served as common Straw man when discussing BC's attendance issues and the game day restrictions imposed by BC's neighbors. I don't want to set up dueling Straw men, but I do think BC's game against UMass in Gillette Stadium is a good test to see how much tailgating matters.

But I will acknowledge that just because the game is being played in Massachusetts doesn't mean the majority of our season ticket holders will go. There are multiple reasons why BC fans won't turn out in droves: Labor Day Weekend is already a tough time to host a football game, Foxoborough traffic can be bad on game days, the effort to buy and pay for another ticket, and UMass is terrible. With only a few weeks remaining until kickoff, I don't get the sense that many BC fans are going. And given the history, not many UMass fans will be there either.

Last year UMass' listed attendance for their home opener against Maine was 15,624. For their home opener in 2012, UMass listed attendance at 16,304. When BC last played UMass at Alumni, 30,176 showed up. Given the history and all the factors, my prediction for this game is 22,000. That won't be enough for BC to justify changing our rules or using Gillette as an occasional venue, but we will be able to take credit for a significant increase in UMass' gate.

What do you think? Are you going? How many people will they claim showed up? Leave your thoughts in the comments.