Wednesday, September 05, 2012

Conte to get Air Conditioning and other links

The new AD will have one less issue to tackle as BC announced they will add air conditioning to Conte Forum in summer 2013. This has been a long-time hot button among BC Hockey fans as the arena's ice never held up under warm temperatures, most famously in the fogged out game against North Dakota. Even with the announcement there are still many other issues related to renovations at Conte to address.

Women's soccer beat Northeastern.  

Soaring to Glory posted their breakdown of BC's defense vs Maine's offense

Here is more on BC's target Nick Scott's move from a Massachusetts high school to a Virginia power. 

Tax dollars at work (in a good way)


Love to see this sort of work being done. Maybe to save money we should just build a massive sign and leave space for future titles.

Tuesday, September 04, 2012

Final thoughts on Spain and other links

As others have pointed out, you should read Ryan Anderson's final blog from Spain. Call me a sap or maybe    I am blinded by my loyalty to BC, but I was glad to read Anderson's take on the trip and his teammates. Think of trips or shared experiences you had at that age and how you felt after. Anderson just had one of those experiences and we were lucky that he shared it with us. I hope it all pays off on the basketball court because this team is very likable.

One thing I didn't put together was Doug Martin's experience going against Golden's defenses during Kent State-Temple matchups. It's interesting that Miami blamed most of the big plays on missed assignments. I am sure that's partially true but it doesn't explain some of the separation our guys got in one on one battles.

That Patriots released Matt Tennant after just a few days. I don't know where he'll go next, but I imagine multiple teams are interested.

The women's basketball team released their non-conference schedule.

If you didn't see it the soccer team beat Fairfield on Monday.

BC Memes is back


If you didn't pay attention to BC Memes last year, you might want to follow them on Facebook this season. I have a feeling there will be plenty of good material.

Second viewing thoughts and grade report: Miami

Watching this game back might have spiked my bloodpressure. We should have won. There's been debate on the blogs and message boards regarding Miami's talent or some coaching issues. I really think it was about mistakes and conditioning. If we wrapped up a bit more and did a better job with drops and fumbles, this game was ours. A bad day or some bad bounces will happen to great teams too. But what frustrates is that we wasted a career day from Rettig and we wasted a potential wins. Great teams bounce back from games like these. Will this BC team?

Offense: B+

Rettig threw the ball like a pro. That's not an exaggeration. His throws were fast and on time. He also added touch and made good throws when the play broke down. The INT was bad, but those things are bound to happen when you throw it 50+ times. I appreciate that he kept going back to guys who had dropped the ball. I also like when he showed nice touch. Miami used a lot of zone and dropped a lot of guys into coverage. Rettig was patient and waited for things to open. The only small critique was that his footwork was a bit inconsistent in the second half, but overall it was a hell of a game. If he plays like this every week, we will win more games than we lose.

A big reason for Rettig's big day was the offensive line. They gave him plenty of time and were very good in pass protection. Miami didn't blitz much nor send more than four, so it was all about fundamentals, helping the guy next to you and maintaining your blocks. The run blocking wasn't as clean or dominant. Vardaro had a couple of mistakes when he pulled or trapped. He was the weak link of the line on Saturday. There was one botched exchange with Gallik but otherwise he was good. White, Wetzel and Cleary all had great days.

We've been so used to our WRs getting manhandled that it was shocking and refreshing to see them wide open. Much of that was because Miami used a lot of zone, but most of the WRs found the soft spots and exploited them. Amidon and Rettig were clearly on the same page and looked like they were improvising on play breakdowns. Amidon's drops cost us, but he made up for it with some really tough catches and nice runs. Miller had some nice catches in traffic but he also dropped some key passes. Evans was ok -- but hands were an issue too. Elliott had a nice grab. Coleman didn't do much but did make a good decision on running during the run/pass option. Parsons' step out of bounds was costly. Porter played but wasn't thrown to and got pushedover when blocking for a potential Kimble TD run.

Sinkovec was our secret weapon. I don't know if he'll be that wide open ever again, but he made the most of the throws to him and looked good running with the ball. His blocking was good too. Kimble had a huge day and looked really good in all aspects of the game. However, his fumble was terrible and he's got to do a better job holding onto it in traffic. Andre Williams started well but was contained as the game went on. Aside from his costly fumble the big issues seems to be his vision and cuts. When he has space and runs to daylight he looks great. Or if the hits a tight hole and just pushes. The problems come when he has a hole and cuts into traffic -- which he did a few times. I don't know what he's seeing, but it was disappointing.

I loved how Martin called the game. He had us finding soft spots in their zone. He kept Miami honest with a good mix of run and play action. We attacked downfield. The only gripe was that we stalled out some drives in the redzone, but two of those drives could have easily been TDs (Miller's drop and the final possession). But it was obvious to anyone who has followed BC recently that something was different. I hope Martin keeps things this interesting and keeps the other team's guessing.

Defense: D

Before the season, I thought the front seven would carry our defense. On Saturday they were the problem.

Other than Ramsey, none of the DLine disrupted Miami. Edebali hustles like no one else, but needs to make more plays. Quinn was a nonfactor and missed some tackles. Ricci didn't do much. Mihalik didn't get much penetration. Abdesmad lost contain and made some other mistakes.

Divitto's has had better days. I don't know if Miami decided to exploit him or if it was just bad timing, but many of the big plays were on his side. Although he did make some nice tackles, he still allowed too many big plays via missed tackles, getting swallowed on blocks or being a step late in coverage. Like all the LBs, Clancy missed tackles, but overall was good. KPL had some really good plays but also had a few mistakes in coverage. Duggan was very good and got in their backfield. We need to get him on the field more.

The DBs were actually pretty good. Noel made some big plays and hustled. Rositano was solid and showed good hands on the INT. Asprilla was all over the place.  Keyes was good. Sylvia was good in run support.

The defense missed a bunch of tackles and didn't make enough plays up front. You can debate how much of that was on coaching. What you can't debate was BC's failure to adjust or slow things down. We started to blitz KPL in the second half. We also used a bit of three-man fronts, but it wasn't enough. We couldn't get Miami off the field and didn't luck out on turnovers.

Special Teams: B-

I felt the punt and kick coverage was decent. I liked the use of the pooch. Evans had one nice run back. Rositano lucked out on his fumbled punt but we can't have him back there fair catching it every time. Levano's punts were fine. Freese was also solid.

Overall: C

BC played hard and looked great at times. But Spaz gets a C for not having an adjustment in the second half. You also have to question the missed tackles. Was it talent or conditioning? Either way it was a problem and Spaz needs to address it. We wasted a timeout on the first play (it didn't matter) but that's still on Spaz. (I know the we blamed TV, but it was never corrected. What if we needed it?) The final possession was also poorly managed. Why didn't we challenge the 3rd down catch? That looked like a TD to me.

Things look better and Spaz deserves credit for that. But now he needs to show that was not a fluke and he needs to actually pick up a win.

Sunday, September 02, 2012

Weekend roundup

Sorry for the delay in posting my second viewing thoughts and grades. I am travelling and have yet to watch the game back. When I see it again, I will post the grades shortly thereafter.

AJ asked if this game was an aberration from Rettig or the start of something big. I am leaning towards the start of something big. As a reminder, Flutie's biggest day at BC all-time was also in a loss. I will have a post later this week on how Rettig's day -- even though a huge statistical leap -- was not a fluke.

The Patriots picked up Matt Tennant on the waiver wire

Here is another post from Ryan Anderson's Spain trip. The team lost their final game of the tour.

The women's soccer team's dominance on their west coast swing continued.

Field Hockey lost to UMass.

Saturday, September 01, 2012

Signs of life but same old result

Those first ten minutes were the most fun I've had watching BC football in years. The offense was flying around! No names were stepping up! We forced an INT. It seemed like the classic BC formula. But we couldn't keep it up. The offense turned exciting possessions into field goals and the defense started allowing huge plays. The calls certainly didn't go our way (especially at the end) but that wasn't why we lost.

Hats off to Chase Rettig. He played really well and had the sixth best passing day in BC history. Despite the drops, Amidon had a great game too.

I will have more over the next few days. I am on the road so I don't know if the second viewing thoughts will be up Sunday or Tuesday.

In-game comments post: Miami

It's time! BC football is back. Hope is here. We have actually games to talk about instead of just speculate. And we finally have a chance to put 2011 behind us. I think we'll have a good start to the season and hopefully it will lead to a fun and surprising year. Enjoy the game and leave your comments and thoughts below.

You can also follow me on twitter

Harris injured in Temple debut and and other links

BC's all-time leading rusher Montel Harris began his Temple career Friday night. The debut didn't last long as Harris was sidelined with a hamstring injury. I hope he has a big season, but the once durable guy now seems to have the injury bug.

As a reminder BC will honor Lou Montgomery and Frank Chamberlain at halftime.

Women's soccer tied Stanford.

I know I promised a Meterparel interview this week but we had scheduling issues. We will have it next week.

Dominique Williams knows he has to earn his playing time.

ESPN posted a Q&A with Chase Rettig.

Volleyball lost to Northern Iowa but beat Mississippi State.

The Field Hockey team beat Quinnipiac.

Friday, August 31, 2012

Game Watchs: BC vs Miami UPDATED

As a reminder, this game is in ABC's 3:30 ET slot which means regional and/or mirrored coverage for most of the country. If you're on the East Coast you should be able to watch on ABC. Anywhere else will have to check their local listings...OR if you are near a local Game Watch, you could watch with fellow BC fans! There are new locations for the always popular Chicago and New York City watches. If you Chapter is having a Watch and it is not listed, please post the info in the comments section and send me an email.


Chicago Game Watch **NEW LOCATION** 
Tripoli Tap 1147 West Armitage Avenue
Chicago, IL 60614
(773) 477-4400

Dallas Game Watch
Christies Sports Bar
2811 McKinney Avenue
Dallas, TX 75204-8567
(214) 954-1511

New Jersey Game Watch 
O'Hara's Downtown
172 First St.
Jersey City, NJ

New York City Game Watch **NEW LOCATION**
Joshua Tree (on 3rd Avenue btw 34th and 35th Streets). 
The bar is going all out for the BC crowd. There will be beer and food specials, raffle prizes and a BC flag outside bar.


Phoenix Game Watch
Gallagher's Sports Grill
7575 N. 16th Street
Phoenix

San Diego Game Watch
The Beer Company
602 Broadway
San Diego, CA 92101


San Francisco Game Watch
Shanghai Kelly's in San Francisco
2064 Polk Street (corner of Polk and Broadway)
San Francisco, CA 94109


Washington, DC Game Watch
Irish Whiskey Public House (formerly Porter's)
1207 19th Street, NW
Washington, DC

Thursday, August 30, 2012

BC-Miami preview

A new season. A new start. That's what we get on Saturday. People talk about the wins trending down the past few seasons, but the fun around BC football has also slid. I desperately want that to end. Winning would be nice. But I'll settle for some exciting games and playing to win. We fans think we deserve it. I know the players deserve it. I don't expect a classic game on Saturday but the teams match up well enough that it could be fun again.

**NEW FEATURE** Hot Seat Thermometer
In college football every game is a must win, but even more so when you hold the hottest seat in the sport. Each week I will be rating Spaz's seat depending on the game, the opponent, the pressure and the fanbase's mood. This week is very important. A win can set the tone for the entire season and set BC back on a path to the postseason. A loss will dampen the mood everywhere around the team.
Temperature: toasty

Overlooked storyline: rivalry renewed?
BC played Miami annually until we followed them into the ACC. Of course our "partner" was slotted in the other division meaning we only play them on a cross-divisional schedule. However, with the ACC expanding there is still a chance that the divisions could be shuffled. I hope that whatever new pairings come down, that the ACC tries to honor some of the old Big East matchups.

Three simple keys
1. Tempo. We've heard about changes in tempo before. Now I want to see it. If we expect to beat anyone this year, scoring less than 20 points a game is not going to do it. To improve scoring we need to move faster and create more possessions and opportunities.
2. Get to Morris. One of the reasons BC had success against Miami last year was the pressure we put on Harris. Morris is a different QB, but forcing him to rush throws is the key to slowing their offense.
3. A big day for Rettig. Rettig started really well against Miami last year. He needs to build off of that momentum this game.

Gambling Notes
-- BC has never beaten Miami in back-to-back seasons
-- Spaz is 0-3 in his ACC openers
-- Spaz is 2-1 in home openers
The current line is BC+2

Factoid
This is the earliest in the season that BC has played Miami. Prior to this game, the earliest the date the two teams played was September 4, 1993.

Scoreboard watching
All the ACC games are important but I will be following TOB and NC State. Although Tennessee is down, this is still a big game for the ACC. We need the old Marine to show up on a national stage.

I hope to see...
Andre Williams have a big game. His "comeback" has been a big preseason storyline. We know he has the power, but can he get a good feel for his holes and blocking. Is he healthy? We will see on Saturday.

BC is in trouble if...
The offensive line still struggles. The collapse of the oline has been one of the root causes of Spaz's problems. The talent is there. Now we need to execute.

Bottom line
I think Doug Martin is going to make an immediate impact. I think the offense comes out smoking and the defense contains Miami. I don't know what it will mean for the season, but it will feel nice to have some fun again.
Final Score: BC 31, Miami 14

Season Prediction Part III: what will happen

I am a believer in Chase Rettig. I like what Doug Martin brings to the offense and the program. I think there is more talent on defense than people realize. Yet I don't have faith in the man in charge. Readers criticize me for kicking Spaz while he's down or for spreading too much pessimism. That's not my intention. I just think back to multiple games last year that turned on coaching decisions. Was it bad luck? Bad coaching? I don't know. But I don't think it will all be fixed by a few staff changes and Spaz being another year wiser. As I said in the best case scenario, there are still a lot of good pieces on this team. The schedule is manageable. The ultimate question is can we get out of our own way? [This is my official prediction for the season.]

What will happen

Miami. Win. I think this will be a low scoring defensive game. I give BC the edge with Rettig making some big passes down the stretch.

Maine. Win. No underdog scare. BC controls fairly comfortably.

at Northwestern. Loss. This is one of those games where I think coaching will become a factor. We're on the road against a team that can put up points and we waste too many opportunities.

Clemson. Loss. I think this will be a lot like the Northwestern game in that BC can't keep up in a shoot out only this time against a better offense.

at Army. Win. A solid performance that gets us back above .500 and thinking bowl game.

at Florida State. Loss. I expect Florida State to be a Top 5 team at this point. I think we will give them a tough game but not have enough to pull out a win.

at Georgia Tech. Loss. I think their offense will cause us problems. Unlike the other shootouts, I actually think we can score on Georgia Tech. I predict it will come down to coaching and Paul Johnson will make a call that changes the game in their favor.

Maryland. Win. In every scenario I see us beating Maryland. I think we will pound it again and I think they will really struggle to score on us.

at Wake Forest. Win. Even though Wake is in a down cycle, this is a nice win for the program and Rettig. Getting a W on the road when the season is still teetering provides a nice confidence boost.

Notre Dame. Loss. We play them hard (as usual) but lose on some big special teams plays. Dropping to 0-4 against the Irish hurts Spaz with the casual BC fan.

Virginia Tech. Loss. I think this game is close and Spaz goes ultra conservative, but the Hokies hang on.

at NC State. Loss. I fear the team will check out at this point and NC State will still have a lot to play for.

That leave BC 5-7 (3-5) and at home during bowl season. The new Athletic Director fires Spaz shortly after the NC State game and we begin anew. 

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Washington Q&A and other links

BC Draft dusted off the cobwebs to post an interview with DLine coach Al Washington. What I appreciate about Washington is his positive outlook. Someone needs to be the believer and motivator and a young coach not that far removed from playing at BC can be that guy.

There was a flash mob in support of BC's Pete Frates.

BC unveiled its 2012-2013 commercial. They are going with the "birthday" theme. I'm glad they got Chris O'Donnell and Matty Ice involved but I don't know how the sesquicentennial theme will play to potential BC students.


The line has swung to Miami's favor. Read into that what you will.

Spaz admitted that the depth chart is not set in stone.

The basketball team traveled from Madrid to Valencia.

We need a big year from Kasim Edebali.

SI hits the nail on the head

This picture is going to get a workout this season.

SI posted their season predictions. Most of their analysts expect Spaz to be fired. Mallory Rubin summed it up best:

A two-win season won't cool the nation's warmest butt. Sometimes promoting from within doesn't work. And sometimes it takes four seasons to admit it.

Guest Blogger: Sebastian's Pub

Although our last game was also against Miami, enough has changed in Coral Gables that I decided to reach out again to Hurricanes blogger Vishnu Parasuraman answer a few questions. Vishnu made his name shooting holes in the Yahoo! Sports report on Miami. Now he's back to get us up to speed on the new roster and assess Year 2 of Al Golden.

ATLEagle: The offense is replacing most of its starters, but has a QB in Stephen Morris that has played. How will things be different? What do you expect Miami to try to do against BC? 

VP: The offense should be much more run heavy. Last year, when Miami needed key conversions in short yardage, they were unable to consistently run the ball. Instead, they relied on a short, accurate passing game. Stephen Morris has played some, and he has shown a very strong arm but does have the tendency to spray the ball a bit. The goal for Miami will be to rely on a strong, consistent running game. If that happens, then they can use Morris from positions of strength, where he can make big plays out of the passing game. He has the arm to make all the throws, but he might not be able to be consistently accurate. Last year, it was pass to set up the run, this year, that script should be flipped.

ATLEagle: Last season's defense was mediocre and only returns five starters. Do you expect much improvement? Who will be the difference maker? How much of a loss was Ray Ray Armstrong?

VP: I think mediocre was likely too much of a superlative to describe last year's defense. Save a few games, they had all sorts of trouble simply forcing the other team off the field. There were several games where it seemed like the other team didn't punt. Obviously, Chase Rettig torched the secondary last year. He wasn't the only QB to have that kind of success. I do expect some improvement as familiarity with the defensive schemes increases. The Miami defense had essentially been running the same system since Jimmy Johnson was the head coach in the 80s, so overhauling it was certainly a drastic step. There are a few key players to watch. 2 sophomores that had big freshman years are expected to break out: Defensive End Anthony Chickillo and Linebacker Denzel Perryman. They are clearly the most talented players on the defense. Ray Ray is a loss because of his experience, but he never lived up to the hype he had as a recruit. Also, in total, he was suspended for 5 games last year, so the team should be comfortable playing without him. I feel bad for him on a personal level, because I wanted him to have another opportunity to get his career where it was supposed to go before he got to Miami, but as a football loss, I don't know that it will impact the team too much.

ATLEagle: With Al Golden entering Year 2, what is your opinion of him and the direction of the program? Last year was unique in that it was his first season and their was the huge distraction because of the Shapiro scandal. What are you minimum expectations for this season?

VP:  I am a big fan of Al Golden. Obviously, when he was hired, we all thought he would be rebuilding a program that was stuck in a rut. No one knew what was about to land on his doorstep. And the school is really lucky they hired him, because he is a top notch character guy and someone that they are very lucky to have as the face of the program through this mess. From a football standpoint, I think the first year was disappointing record-wise. But, I thought the team played a lot better than the 6-6 record. There were several close losses, and obviously, with all the off field stuff, I think Golden did a great job keeping them motivated. Overall, I was happy with his first year. Not happy enough to give him the 8 year contract extension that Miami did, but happy nonetheless. This year, I think it is important that the record improves from a perception standpoint. Miami lost a lot of key players, so it will be difficult. But I felt the team was much better than 6-6 last year, so I would expect 7 or 8 wins for the season to be successful.

ATLEagle: What's your prediction for the game?

VP: Well, this is a tough one. Last year's game is still fresh in my memory. I thought Miami would win last year, and not only did they lose 24-17, but that score was horribly misleading. BC completely dominated the game. And I hate opening the season with a conference road game. I do like the talent and balance of the Miami squad, but there are so many unknowns, it is hard to feel confident. On the other hand, it seems like BC's entire team has gotten injured. I am sure they would also rather open with a directional school. I really like Miami's special teams. I think there a couple of players that can make big plays in the return game, and both the kicker and punter return from last year. I look for that to make the difference and Miami to win by a FG.

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Basketball picks up a win in Spain


The basketball team bounced back from their Monday loss, to defeat Real Canoe Madrid on Tuesday. If you watch the clip above it will reinforce many of the stereotypes you probably have about European basketball. It doesn't look like anyone is playing defense. But I love the way BC moved the ball. There is a crispness and a pace that shows how far the young guys have come. I think when ACC play begins, we will be much improved and finally play at Donahue's desired tempo. I also like that we held them scoreless for more than six minutes. That sort of defensive commitment is key to improvement this year.

Ryan Anderson posted his second blog for BCeagles.com and Dennis Clifford wrote his second blog for the Heights.

Season Prediction Part II: best case scenario

This team should be better than expected. If TOB or Jags were still around, I know we would surprise people, challenge for the division and certainly go bowling. I don't feel that way about Spaz. I don't trust him to have the team ready (look at our past starts) nor do I trust him to lead BC to victory in tight games. Still, the schedule is not overly tough. I think Rettig is due for a break out and I think our Defense will be very good. If Spaz doesn't get in his own way, if we get a few lucky bounces and if a few key guys finally reach their potential, this is how the season could play out.

Best Case Scenario 

Miami. Win. The 'Canes are hurting as much, if not more than we are. We are better than we were last November and they are worse. Plus it is at home. We win comfortably.

Maine. Win. Never in doubt. All the QBs get to play in a BC romp.

at Northwestern. Win. This games makes up for one of Spaz's most frustrating losses from 2011. This time BC is ready for their offense and slows them down most of the game.

Clemson. Win. This is a shocker and catches the college football world by storm. BC steals the game by forcing multiple turnovers. The team enters the top 25.

at Army. Win. BC has some trouble staying focused following the huge upset of Clemson. The game is sloppy, but we hold on for the win.

at Florida State. Loss. Because of the teams' rankings and records, this becomes a prime time national game. FSU proves to be too much and hands BC its first loss of the season.

at Georgia Tech. Loss. Like BC, Georgia Tech comes into the game ranked and one of the surprises of the season. BC has fits with their offense and losses two in a row.

Maryland. Win. The Terps come to town at just the right time. Rettig has a strong day and BC shuts out their offense. This ends BC's skid. BC is now bowl eligible again.

at Wake Forest. Win. Although struggling on the season, Wake Forest still gives us a game. We hold on and get back into the rankings.

Notre Dame. Loss. This is the game that empties out the Spaz bandwagon. We lose an ugly game to the Irish as they run up the score and we look lost.

Virginia Tech. Loss. It is a sloppy, ugly game. Neither team plays well. Virginia Tech makes fewer mistakes and wins. This ends any hope BC had of winning the division.

at NC State. Win. With Gene out of the picture, the pressure to beat TOB not what it was, but Spaz still ends the regular season on a high note.

This leaves BC 8-4 (5-3). Not elite, but certainly better than last year. BC gets invited to the Belk Bowl and loses to Cincinnati. The new AD has seen enough and Spaz is "retired," gets all the money owed to him and some ceremonial role with the school for a few years.

Monday, August 27, 2012

Depth Chart released, overreaction ensues

BC released its Game Notes and Depth Chart for the Miami game. I'll get to the depth chart in a moment, but the first thing you should do is read the game notes. Learn them. Memorize them. Turn them into a drinking game, because you'll be hearing them all year from each new announce team!

The actual Depth Chart created a sense of unease on the BC message boards and blogs. Seeing the team on paper put our perceived depth and talent issues all out in the open. We will be starting players in entirely new positions and throwing true freshmen in some critical situations. There was also the curious demotion or two that always makes you wonder if Spaz is using the depth chart to send a message. I try not to read too much into any of it. The best players will get on the field eventually. We don't have an abundance of talent, so if you can contribute, you'll play. When I looked at the chart, I asked myself "who is going to score?" We have very few difference makers at skill positions and recent injuries have exasperated the issue. But I am not worried. For the past four seasons I've been proclaiming that college offense is less about talent and more about execution. These young freshmen will score if put in the right situations. In Martin I trust!

Basketball loses, Soccer loses and other links

The basketball team lost the first game of their Spain tour. This is not surprising since they are playing proteams and a different style. I keep telling myself this trip is about getting better for the real season this winter. Ryan Anderson posted his second blog of the trip. I appreciate how candid he is about the art, the trip and the style of play. You sense an awareness and growing maturity. And it's not just about the trip. He's a college kid who is realizing all that he doesn't know yet. I think we all hit those checkpoints in life...just not on a public stage. He's very likable.

The men's soccer team lost to BU. (Is there ever a time when losing to BU doesn't stink?)

HD doesn't think we will make a bowl. Neither does Stewart Mandel.

Surprisingly, CBS didn't put us at the bottom of their ACC power rankings.

Season Prediction Part I: worst case scenario

Every year I do three breakdowns of the season ahead. One is the pessimistic version, the next the optimistic and then the final is what I think will actually happen. Over the years I have missed the mark, but in most cases my actual prediction was pretty accurate. Last year for the first time we came pretty close to the worst case. I don't know what to expect this year. Because of the mood around the team and Spaz, I think the beginning of the season is critical. If we start slow, the season could unravel. If we win, the team might rally around each other and get back to winning football. If things do fall apart, this is how I think it will play out.

Worst Case Scenario

Miami. Loss. BC's offense struggles as the line buckles against the U's front and we can't make much happen with our depleted skill position players. BC's defense keeps us in the game, but we start another season with a home loss.

Maine. Win. BC bounces back from the rough loss in the opener. Even if things get real bad this season, I can't see a scenario where we lose to Maine.

at Northwestern. Loss. Even though BC knows what's coming, we can't adjust to the Wildcats' tempo or mobile QB.

Clemson. Loss. Like last season, Spaz plays ball control in order to keep it close, but BC can't keep up with even a low-scoring Clemson team.

at Army. Loss. Army is improved and gives us trouble throughout the game. They steal it late and leave every fan and player thinking the season is over.

at Florida State. Loss. BC names a new Athletic Director in the week prior to the game. There's renewed hope in the fanbase (and even among the players). But Florida State is rolling and crushes us.

at Georgia Tech. Loss. Georgia Tech's offense presents a tough matchup under normal circumstances. Add the chaos around the season and Spaz checking out and this game becomes another loss.

Maryland. Win. Spaz's saving grace in 2011 comes into the game in rough shape again. BC wins in a similar fashion: run, run and more running.

at Wake Forest. Loss. BC plays tough but Wake has another WTF win in the series and steals a close game at home.

Notre Dame. Loss. The Irish offense is playing well and light us up. BC scores more than our average but can't keep up in a shootout. This loss means no bowl for BC again. The new AD fires Spaz after the game. Doug Martin is named interim Head Coach.

Virginia Tech. Loss. Martin gives the team some new energy, but it is still not enough to beat Virginia Tech.

at NC State. Win. Is there a more predictable scenario than TOB losing to a lessor team in his last game against BC?

3-9 and (2-6) in conference means a total house cleaning. The majority of the coaching staff is let go and many players decide to transfer. BC hires a new coach and reexamines everything it does with regard to football. The 16 year culture of TOB, Coach Flip and their shared disciples is over.