Monday, September 11, 2006

Blogpoll Week 2

I didn't get to see as much football as I normally do this weekend, but here are my rankings. I really gave BC a boost and kept most of the rest as is. My polls don't start to shake out until teams start losing.


Games I saw
Clemson-BC 100%
OSU-Texas 50%
UGA-USC 25%
Akron-NCSU 50%

RankTeamDelta
1 Notre Dame --
2 Auburn --
3 Ohio State --
4 Southern Cal --
5 Florida --
6 Louisiana State 2
7 Virginia Tech 3
8 West Virginia 1
9 Georgia 2
10 Florida State 2
11 Michigan 2
12 Iowa 5
13 Louisville 1
14 Tennessee 1
15 Texas 9
16 Oregon --
17 Boston College 3
18 TCU --
19 Oklahoma 2
20 Nebraska 3
21 Miami (Florida) 5
22 Alabama 2
23 UCLA 2
24 Rutgers 2
25 Arizona State 1

Dropped Out: Clemson (#17), Texas Tech (#19), Utah (#22).

Sunday, September 10, 2006

Viewing thoughts and grade reports

I am on the road, so I won’t be able to rewatch this game again until later in the week. So here are my thoughts and grades based on the live viewing.


Offense: B+


Matt Ryan didn’t have his best game. Clearly his left leg impacted his throwing. He floated a few passes and missed some deep opportunities. Despite his limitations, I thought he moved really well…especially in the pocket. The biggest intangible is his confidence. I know I never felt out of it with him. If I feel that way, I am sure his teammates did as well. I think the rah, rah firey leader stuff is overrated. Yelling at guys is fine if you make plays. However, I think confidence is very underrated. Ryan believes in himself and his team and it shows.


Rough day for Andre Callender. He ran well until the fumble. At this point I am starting to lose sympathy for him. He lost a near touchdown against Maryland last season. Regardless if the coaches tell him to stretch for the final yard, not protecting the ball is on him. Whitworth played well. He finally seems to be adjusting to plays as opposed to running where the play was supposed to be.


The wide receivers were fantastic. They found the soft spots in the zones. They fought hard for first downs. They stretched the field. Solid game from everyone. Gonzo and Challenger should get most of the credit. Both are so sure handed I expect them to catch everything. Neither will ever break loose, but they don’t screw up. I loved seeing us try to go deep with Gunnell and Robinson.


Tight ends -- a more quiet effort than I would’ve expected. Glad to see Loyte get in on the action.


The offensive line was an issue in the first half. Sheridan’s struggles were obvious. Poles struggled early too. So then we send in the subs and move Beekman to Center and things start clicking. What do we do in the second half? Go back to the starting lineup. Fortunately it worked. Sheridan looked much better as the game wore on. The pass blocking was excellent all night. The run blocking got better each quarter and BC really dominated the last drive in overtime (and Poles opened the final hole for LV).


Bible had me screaming at the TV early, but he eventually settled in and called a good game. The drive to tie the game in regulation was nearly all pass. Finally someone on the offensive staff realized that our guys could exploit their zones and space in the middle. It was really a nice drive. The first OT drive was too conservative, but the winning drive had a great mix of run pass.


Defense: B-


The guys played hard, but were often reckless and dumb.


The Defensive line was still uneven. Nick Larkin played probably his best game at the Heights. Good pressure on Proctor and really good working down the line on run plays. Giles looked solid again. Willis continues to impress and collapses the line well for a skinny guy. Brace…showed me nothing. Someone his size should cause some sort of problems for the opponent. He doesn’t. He can get pushed around and was a non-factor. Raji – I do think he made a difference in the second half. He opened up lanes and clogged things up on some of the third and shorts. His face mask penalty was stupid.


The linebackers. Pruitt played well again. He is a good tackler and really good getting off blocks. His coverage technique is strong too. Francois looked good too. Toal started strong before going out with the injury. Dundar is frustrating. He made more mental mistakes again (including the late hit) and is still having problems in pass coverage. But he saved the game and deserves credit for that. Akins played well and is a great open field tackler. McLaughlin didn’t do much, but I am glad he is getting playing time.


The secondary was an issue. Tribble played really well and is becoming Jazzmen Williams-like run tackler. Anam was terrible. The first TD was on him. He is not a good coverage guy. I say Morris should start getting those snaps. Anderson look better. At least he didn’t let anyone behind him. Silva walks a fine line. He is clearly a head hunter. That helps us, but he is starting to get reckless. The late hit was stupid. And he is letting his coverage responsibilities suffer while he goes around looking to knock someone out.


Spaz has beaten Rob Spence three times already, so he is doing something right. The pressure on the QB was improved. I thought Spaz got too conservative on the third and longs. And the tackling on the Spiller play made me wonder how this keeps happening every year.


Special Teams: A-


Smith was unbelievable. If teams keep kicking to him, he might lead the country in return yards. He doesn’t have Blackmon’s vision, but he is clearly faster and able to make slight adjustments to avoid contact.


Tribble made good decisions on his returns.


Dunbar saved the day and saved Ohliger. Our kicker is now a lost cause.


Overall: B+


A win over a ranked team and a division foe. Considering everything that went wrong, this was a great end result. I am tired of the stupid penalties – three personal fouls. Where is all this supposed discipline?


As I said earlier, BC can beat every team on its schedule. But to do so will take much more consistent efforts and fewer mistakes.

Saturday, September 09, 2006

Mr. Smith goes to town

A hard-fought, gutsy, sometimes dumb, and important win. Huge day for Jeff Smith. Ryan played pretty well. Really, a team effort.


I'll have my grades and expanded thoughts later.


Getting this win was huge. BC can beat every team remaining on its schedule. But if they keep winning this way, I won't make it to the end of the season.

Friday, September 08, 2006

Want to understand why I think we will win?

The odds are against BC. I am pretty frustrated with the CMU performance. Clemson is hot. Yet I think BC will win. Why? I don't have any good stat. Nothing jumps out. I grasped at straws in my preview.


My instinct is not logical. It's emotional. I think we can beat Clemson and have a fighting chance in every game of this season for one reason: this clip!


It doesn't make sense. One hit in one game doesn't make a quarterback. But I am not rational. I am a fan. And seeing a kid bounce back from a hit like this and lead his team to victory plays to my susceptible emotions. Gives me strength. It gives me faith.


Matt Ryan is not perfect. But he is tough. He has heart and he is fearless. He may not even see the field this weekend. If he doesn't it will be a big mistake. I believe he can do it again...even on one good leg.

Conference openers

When I read a little tidbit about Tommy Bowden being 6-1 in conference openers at Clemson, I decided to look up TOB’s record. Not nearly as impressive. He enters Saturday’s game (his second ACC opener) with a 4-5 record in his first games of conference play. Looking back, TOB supporters would be quick to mention the number of times he had to face Miami as the start of his Big East slate. The detractors could just as easily mention the years he got to start against UConn, Temple and Rutgers. What does it all mean anyway? Well it is just another piece in the puzzle.


Numbers can be skewed and taken out of context. The start of a season or a bowl game is a sign of what a coach can do when given time to prepare. Yet as we know, the first game and bowl game are often against inferior opponents.


The start of conference play is probably a better measurement of a team and its coach. They are facing a foe with some familiarity with BC. The game means something with regards to standings and bowls. And there is no avoiding these opponents.


Clemson might not be as tough as last year’s Florida State team or some of the top Miami teams of old, but they are certainly one of TOB’s tougher conference openers. While I can’t label it a true must win, it is pretty crucial to this season.

A few links

Everyone is playing coy about Ryan’s status. No inside info here, but my gut tells me he is starting.


Flutie gets the Wheaties box. You’d have thought that would’ve happened a long time ago.


BC unveiled its new master plan for campus. My question: where are people going to park and tailgate for football games? Seriously. Putting everyone in garages will negatively impact the experience and what BC can charge for those spots.

Thursday, September 07, 2006

BC-Clemson preview

I'll stand by what I said last week -- this game will make or break BC's season. If they win, I think it will give the team enough confidence to potentially reach a 10 win season. A loss probably means 7 or 8 wins and another Boise-like Bowl. Now on to the preview.


Theme that won’t be discussed on television. The national media love to roast Tommy Bowden. If he stumbles against BC and Florida State this year, you can bet that pundits will start putting him on the hot seat. Yet, if you talk to most Clemson fans and bloggers, they say Tommy is secure and well liked. Contrast that with TOB. He would never be placed on any supposed hot seat list. Yet many BC fans don’t particulary like him and are starting to get vocal about it.


Three simple keys:
1. Throwing to the Tight Ends on the short and intermediate routes over the middle. This worked like a charm against CMU. I would think that Clemson would prepare for it. However, the Tigers face one key problem -- their linebackers are decimated. Their new guys are going to be learning on the fly. I like our matchup advantage.


2. Defensive line pressure. This will be tough missing Raji for a half. Although some of the guys played above expectations last week, the unit, as a whole, did not. This week they need to apply more pressure and throw their hands up on passing downs. Like CMU, Clemson will be throwing on quick drops. It is up to our D-line to be dissruptive as possible.


3. Don’t recyle last season’s gameplan. Last year TOB decided to wear on Clemson. The offense ran over 90 plays. The second unit offensive line came in for a TD scoring drive. It was one of TOB’s best effort. Unfortunately it is outdated now. Our line depth is not what it was. Clemson’s front is much better. The heat in Boston won’t be the same as it was in Death Valley. TOB needs some new wrinkles. Yet I have a fear that we are going to trot out the same plan and not anticipate Clemson’s adjustments. In this game, I think BC needs to pass more and give whoever is playing QB some time to throw downfield.


Gambling notes.
-- TOB is 9-7 as a home underdog.
-- Tommy Bowden is 5-9-1 as an away favorite.
-- Clemson has not played a regular season game north of College Park, MD since 1983 (their last trip to Boston. BC won 31-16.)
The current line is Boston College +2.5


What would be a pleasant surprise? With questions at QB and coming off a dud opener, I would be pleasantly surprised with a comfortable BC win.


What would be a letdown? Clemson blowing BC out. If it is another hard fought, close game like last year that just happens to go the other way, I think the fans would be somewhat accepting. If we get crushed it could kill fan and player morale.


What would be a shocker? This is supposed to be Clemson’s year. BC looked lousy agaisnt CMU and has QB issues. If we come out and win by three touchdowns, even TOB’s most vocal critics will shut up (for a week or two).


Bottom line
Believe it our not, I like our chances this week. I think getting Clemson early and at home is a good thing. I think Proctor and the Clemson injuries will be a bigger factor than BC’s issues (QBs and Raji’s suspension). I think Ryan will be okay and play well. And I hope that last week’s game was a wake-up call to the staff and players.
Final Score: BC 27, Clemson 17.

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Quick links

Here is the coverage map for this weekend.


Matt Ryan was named the Co-Offensive player of the week.


Finally, TOB will be a quest on a Atlanta-based college football show. You can listen online at 790thezone.com. The show begins at 1 PM ET.

Guest Blogger: CU Sporting News

Big things are happening for the guys at CU Sporting News. Yet despite their hectic blogging plans, Jason still had time to guest blog here. Check out CU Sporting News for all Clemson related things and updates on the boys' big move to the big time.



1. Proctor got the win and his stats in the opener were okay, but what did you think of his performance?


His stats and performance were more about what Coach Bowden said he graded them as, an A-. He was admittedly nervous at the start of the game, and it showed with a botched handoff to a running back in the backfield that resulted in a fumble.


Here is what you need to know about Will Proctor as he enters his senior year: he is more mobile than former QB Charlie Whitehurst, while not having as much arm strength he is a more accurate passer than Whitehurst. Will Proctor is probably a better fit for Offensive Coordinator Rob Spence's system than Charlie Whitehurst was last season. The system relies on quick reads, and packages with multiple options. He can come to a line with 5 to 6 options that he has to make within a few seconds. Proctor does well with this.


Last season's 16-13 BC ot win in Death Valley received a lot of arm chair criticism in Clemson circles for the offense's failure to lengthen the field by throwing deeper. What happened instead was Whitehurst, a drop back passer, either had to rely on the running game or buy time for receivers to get open, which rarely happened vs. BC's talented defensive front. With Proctor, you will see a different situation. Expect multiple sets, with multiple play options coming out of the huddle. Expect several designed roll outs, sprint outs, bootlegs, etc. Proctor, while unproven in road situations as THE leader of the offense, has the skills to make a difference forcing the defense to match Clemson's speed at wide receiver and three very different running back sets.


Proctor will attempt a lot of very safe passes (hence his very high completion percentage) and rely on a near constant rotation of three running backs and team speed at wideout with Chansi Stuckey, Aaron Kelly, Rendrick Taylor, Jacoby Ford, etc.


2. Your LB core is the walking wounded. Tell us about the new guys who are filling their shoes?

The line backing situation is like a punch to the gut for Clemson at the moment. Middle linebacker Anthony Waters, who turned down a likely third round pick in the NFL draft returned to Clemson to fulfill a family promise to graduate and make a difference on this squad. Instead, the ACC's leading returning tackler will have to watch the rest of the season from the sideline. On top of that, outside LB Billie's broken foot in preseason camp and immediately depth becomes an issue for Clemson. Here is why that is important. Clemson D front line is perhaps the best in the ACC, led by Gaines Adams, perhaps a NFL first round pick in April. The Secondary is ok. Converted running back Duane Coleman and Sergio Gilliam lead that corps, but it is what lots of folks considered to be the weakest part of the Clemson team. Because of attrition of probably the top two linebackers, expect Clemson to be less aggressive on defense, especially among the linebackers, so as not to give up large plays through the air.


Clemson is now vulnerable, moreso than before, to mismatches on defense. Against the run or pass alone, Clemson should be fine. When assignments start to break down, Clemson will be more vulnerable, especially to passes in the flats as the game goes on.


3. Do you think traveling this far north will be a big deal for the Tigers?


Yes. There is an exotic factor to BC for Clemson. I cannot speak for the team, but many fans are seeing the BC game as a late summer vacation opportunity to New England, almost with the same attitude that folks approach a winter bowl trip to a warm climate.


As far as the team goes, other than the usual disruption that traveling causes, I cannot really imagine that much being made of it, as all they will see of Boston will be a hotel and the BC stadium. What will be interesting will be who travels with the team. Saturday, over 70 of the 85 scholarship players, saw action vs. Florida Atlantic, over 50 in the first quarter alone. For the Clemson coaches, decisions this week about who to bring on the travel squad will be important. Against FAU, Clemson was often subbing four players a down. Lots of positions were being showcased, especially at the second string level. Also, losing to BC was a bit of a rallying cry for the Tigers last season, because it served as a reminder to play all 60 minutes. Things like that will be on the mind of the Tigers.


4. What is your prediction for the game?


Keeping Clemson's team speed, experience at both the offense and defense lines and raw talent at running back with Davis, Meriwether and 2005 Florida player of the year, CJ Spiller, I expect Clemson to use some complicated sets with runners out of the back field catching passes, alternating inside/outside running and less aggressive zone defense. At the end of the day, Clemson's experience and speed make the difference with a final score in the 31 to 16 range for the Tigers.

Tuesday, September 05, 2006

Old QB, current QB, and new QB news

The Steelers signed Brian St. Pierre.


Tommy Bowden expects Matt Ryan to play. Other coaches are not always good at predicting who TOB plays (see: Jim Bunting).


Brett Kan is still hoping for a BC offer.


In non-QB news, Kiwi had a strong preseason and feels healthy.

Understudies under O’Brien

Matt Ryan is questionable for Saturday’s game against Clemson, meaning Chris Crane could get his first start. Backups have been a mixed bag under TOB. Take a look.

YearInjured Starter Back Up1st fill in start of the season
W-L
1997Matt HasselbeckScott MutrynGeorgia TechL
1999Tim HasselbeckBrian St. PierrePittW
2000Tim HasselbeckBrian St. PierreNotre DameL
2003Quinton PorterPaul PetersonRutgersW
2004Paul PetersonMatt RyanSyracuseL
2005Quinton PorterMatt RyanClemsonW


Once again, let me state that I think Matt Ryan will play this weekend. But as this chart shows and the cliché says “the backup is only one snap away.” I like Chris Crane. Let’s hope he is ready for whatever may happen.

Blogpoll ballot Week 1

Like last year I was harsh on the teams that lost. The only winner I slightly penalized was BC. A performance like that doesn't deserve a bump up in the polls. The top teams are unchanged.

Games I watched:
BC-CMU 100% (twice)
FSU-Miame 100%
ND-Ga Tech 100%
Michigan-Vanderbilt 25%
Memphis-Ole Miss 50%


RankTeam
1 Notre Dame
2 Auburn
3 Ohio State
4 Southern Cal
5 Florida
6 Texas
7 Iowa
8 Louisiana State
9 West Virginia
10 Virginia Tech
11 Georgia
12 Florida State
13 Michigan
14 Louisville
15 Tennessee
16 Oregon
17 Clemson
18 TCU
19 Texas Tech
20 Boston College
21 Oklahoma
22 Utah
23 Nebraska
24 Alabama
25 UCLA

Dropped Out: Miami (Florida) (#16), Cal (#23).

Monday, September 04, 2006

Ryan and Raji's returns

The papers finally gave us an update on Raji and Ryan. First the good news, Raji will return for the second half of the Clemson game. I think we'll be okay, since Willis played so well against CMU. Also, I think the fresh legs and focused Raji could be a real lift in the second half -- assuming we are still in it.


Ryan's status is much more uncertain. I am not a doctor, but I've got to think that if he could play last Thursday, he'll be able to play this Saturday. We beat Clemson last year with a backup and I've heard good things about Chris Crane, but I'd feel a lot better with Ryan under Center.

Saturday, September 02, 2006

Second viewing thoughts and grade report: Central Michigan

Time and a second look at the game via TiVo calmed me down. I don’t think we played well, but there is hope for Clemson.


[For those new to the blog this season, after every televised game, I watch the game back on TiVo, log the plays and grade out the players. It sounds really dorky (and it is) but you really do see a lot more the second time around.]


Offense: B-


Matty Ryan looked great. My only complaint was the bad intentional grounding penalty. Other than that his passes looked sharp. His reads were good. He was missing some downfield options early, but made great adjustments as the game moved on. Down field routes that he overlooked early become touchdowns to Challenger and Gonzo later. Despite a gimpy ankle he moved well in the pocket. Overall a very strong performance. He remains my biggest source of hope.


The running backs picked up where they left off...with nothing brilliant. Neither outshined the other. No explosiveness. Their best play were when they had good run blocking. Neither made something happen on their own. Both had drops. Whitworth fumbled. The only real brightspot is that both showed improvements in their blitz pick up and protection. Since we look like we are going to have to pass a lot this season, protection will be important. Palmer was solid. Good receptions and much improved on his overall blocking.


The Receivers and Tight Ends were a pleasant surprise. Gonzo was sure handed as always. Challenger looked good (a good route runner, not great once he has the ball in open field). The freshman worked into the lineup and acquitted themselves well. Many hoped for a breakout game from Robinson. This wasn’t it. But he’ll get better. I loved the Tight Ends working the seem routes over the middle. They won’t run free like that against Clemson, but both Thompson and Purvis will cause matchup problems for the less talented teams on our schedule. My biggest critique of the pass catchers -- dropping catchable balls. By my count they missed on seven good throws.


The offensive line was the most troubling part of the game. First the good. The pass protection was pretty good and they worked well out of the no huddle and out of the shotgun. The problems -- where to begin? First Sheridan and Poles couldn’t block anyone when pulling. Sheridan was either getting blown up our running without purpose. (Get in front of someone!) Their struggles left AC and LV out to dry. Marten looked slow and weak at Left Tackle. If he was having trouble against the MAC, imagine what it is going to be like in conference play. The good news, Beekman moved over to Center at two different times without missing a beat. The most confounding situation:
1. Avenski and Hall both got time on the field.
2. Avenski and Hall played well.
3. Yet we brought back both Poles and Sheridan late in the game. Why?
Either stick it out with Poles and Sheridan or play the guys you think are better. Giving the subs a shot only to yank them out later (despite their solid performance) doesn’t make sense and certainly isn’t fair or morale building. My bet is that Hall is in the starting lineup by BYU.


As for Bible…despite the score and the yardage it was a very uneven game for BC’s Offensive Coordinator. The first touchdown drive was really well called. Our design and play selection for the first three quarter were also strong. I liked going up-tempo, no huddle. I like that the staff has confidence level in Ryan to let him throw downfield. Bible’s game plan went to shit when CMU scored with 8 minutes left and cut the lead to 14. So here’s the scenario:


1. You’re on the road. You have a two touchdown lead with eight minutes remaining.
2. Your QB is over 300 yards and has passed at will.
3. You’ve struggled running the ball and your line has looked much better in pass protection.
4. You need to move the ball, kill some clock and potentially add a few more points.


If you are stubborn and/or foolish you say “let’s run the ball” (even though it hasn’t worked) and dump a few passes to the flats. What happened with that strategy? No first downs. Barely taking a minute off per drive. The play calling was ultra conservative with the game on the line and it nearly cost us. What TOB and Bible need to realize is that with the new clock rules, successful passing can kill chunks of time. Get first downs, keep the ball and move the chains. That will work just as well as run, run, dump, punt. Ryan only threw three passes in the final eight minutes. Terrible. One other thing about the game alarmed me. Coming out of a CMU timeout, BC couldn’t get their play in on time and had to burn a timeout. Fortunately they didn’t end up needing the TOs. It is frustrating watching BC waste them in a tight game. I don’t hate Bible like others, but his late game management is mediocre at best.


Defense: C-


No one unit stood out, but each had a few stars and each had guys who seemed lost or under motivated.



The defensive line was a mixed bag. The very first drive Raji and Brace were collapsing the line and causing problems. However, knocking out Brunner and CMU adjustments changed that quickly. The Chips went exclusively spread with short drops and our first team DTs became non-factors. Giles doesn’t have Kiwi’s closing speed, but showed good hustle and understanding of his responsibilities. Larkin was key late in the game, but MIA for the rest of it. The biggest surprise on the second viewing -- how well Willis and, to a slightly lesser extent, Brady Smith played. They were better able to handle the spacing and speed of the CMU spread. Raji didn’t play like a 300-pounder last year. He was a good tackler and had a great motor. Thursday night, he looked slow. And then to make matters worse he lost his cool late and got kicked out. An auspicious start.


The linebackers really let me down. These guys need to carry the team and only some of them showed up on Thursday. Pruitt looked great. He had a solid tackling night and did a real good job pealing off of blocks. Francois didn’t see as much time, but he was also strong. Before the season, I thought Dunbar would be All-ACC. He didn’t make me look very smart Thursday. Yes, he led the team in tackles, but he missed a few and was really out of position on a few plays. Toal took three quarters off and was in a fog. He pulled it together late, thankfully. Akins and McLaughlin looked good in limited time. Toal and Dunbar are the two most talented guys on the defense. They need to play much, much better.


The secondary was a near disaster. In the past against the spread offenses our front seven was so strong that the secondary in turn looked good as well. Thursday was not as impressive. Silva played well, but Bowman was lost in coverage and let people get by him twice. Without Glasper, Silva is going to need to step up and direct traffic. Anam -- great speed, still no game sense and he still thinks tackling is flinging his body at the guy with the ball. How has the coaching staff not reinforced wrapping up after four years? Morris and Tribble played okay. Still too much cushion in match ups where they were favored. Anderson was a non-factor.


I didn’t like Spaz’s gameplan. He was mixing linebacker combos and who was playing with whom and I think it hurt cohesiveness. The three man front was ineffective. The prevent didn’t prevent anything. Goalline defense -- even with two guys over 330 on our side -- saw CMU get a good push. We have a lot to accomplish defensively before Clemson.


Special teams: C+


Ohliger looked good. The miss was a long kick and nearly through. Ayers got good distance but still needs to get the punt off faster. The kick coverage looked great. The kick returns were solid and I think Tribble will break something big this year. But we could never have a flawless special teams outing. How do we not stop the fake field goal? The fumbled punt was sloppy too and, finally, Dunbar losing his cool on the final punt was stupid. Just stupid.


Overall: C-


Yeah, I know the grades don’t even out, but this was a bad effort overall. I am still a believer in this team, but there is a lot of work to do before Clemson.

Friday, September 01, 2006

Friday fallout

Not a whole lot of news and analysis yet. I’ll rewatch the game tonight. However, the papers and message boards provided plenty of fodder for today.


First maddening quote: “They brought us here and wanted to take a shot at the moon.” -- TOB.


My reaction: Of course they did. A MAC school getting a BCS school to come to their stadium in primetime on ESPN. You know how a real team handles that challenge -- by stepping on their throats. Kicking them while they are down. Backing the bus over them over and over and over. What did we do up 21 in the fourth? Let them back in the game. Ugh. I am getting fired up again.


Second maddening quote: “We went to Pitt and their quarterback was a guy named Rick Trocano. We knocked him out. You know who the backup was? Dan Marino. He went about 20 of 30." -- TOB comparing facing one of the all-time greats to facing CMU’s backup Freshman QB.


My reaction: Give credit where it is due -- "this kid is tough. He looked sharp." Whatever. But don't put him in the same class as Marino. It just sounds and reads bad and is just more ammo for TOB critics.


Surprising quote: “So why did Boston College schedule this game? Why were the Eagles put at risk in last night's season opener at Central Michigan? On the face of it, BC faced what appeared to be a no-win situation: Lose and, well, the Eagles might as well walk back to Chestnut Hill; win, and it better be by a large margin.



Again, the question: Why did BC have to go to such great lengths -- chartering a flight to East Lansing, Mich., Wednesday night, then practicing at Michigan State's facilities yesterday morning before taking an hour bus ride north on US 127 four hours before last night's game -- to play its first game of the season at Kelly/Shorts Stadium?

Why go through the hassle of scheduling a road game against a Mid-American Conference opponent?


Ostensibly, it was to give BC a much-needed 12th game, but, in reality, it was a way to schedule an easy W."
-- Mike Vega!! Vega who rarely takes the team or school to task asked the question that needed to be asked. He gave Gene a chance to answer: (paraphrasing) “blah blah blah 2-1 for one with the MAC, blah blah blah people cancelled on us, blah blah blah we can’t buy games.”



The two papers did a pretty good job. Yet neither gave any insight into the extent of Ryan’s injury or confirmed Raji’s status for next week.


After seeing his awkward start on the ESPN Season Preview show, I was really worried about Doug Flutie’s broadcast potential. Last night he was great. A natural. Very good voice. Picked up good things and while a little too forced jokey, I thought he did have chemistry with Craig James.


As you’d expect the message boards were vicious today. And we deserve it.


I have some good news and some bad news if last night is a real indicator of this team’s flaws. The good news: we are in for a bunch of passing shoot outs and I think Ryan is up for it. The bad news: more rollercoaster games and more frustration.

Thursday, August 31, 2006

Why do I do this to myself?

When we last saw BC football they were hanging on for dear life on the road against a team that they outclassed in talent and in a game that shouldn't have been as close as its score. A boneheaded play by the opponent's QB gave the game back to the Eagles late in the fourth. Boise. Mt. Pleasant. It is all the same. Terrible game. Just...I don't know...words fail me.


My initial thoughts: Matt Ryan is going to have to carry this team. Ryan Poles and Kevin Sheridan better improve quickly. We'll miss Ryan Glasper. For a team the media likes to call disciplined, we sure make dumb mistakes and draw stupid penalties. Cowardly play calling on both sides of the field.


I'll post my grades after I have begrudingly watched the game a second time (propably this weekend). There were some really good efforts and some really bad ones. This game never should have been this close.


Although it is only the second game of the year, Clemson is really going to make or break this season.

BC-CMU preview

I am breaking out a new format for my previews. Last year’s attempts at predicting what BC would do became trite (to me at least) by November. We’ll see how long this format lasts.


Theme that won’t be discussed on television. This could serve as Brian Kelly’s audition for the BC job. Yes it is the longest of long shots, since TOB is not leaving Chestnut Hill any time soon. But if CMU were to hang with us and go on to a winning season, people would take notice. We will search a conference like the MAC for our next coach. With a few winning seasons, a Mass native like Kelly would certainly be on the short list. And if (God forbid) CMU beats BC, look for some BC fans to try to hire Kelly on Friday.


Three simple keys:
1. BC needs to get to the Quarterback(s). CMU’s QB situation is a mess. BC can make it worse by putting all of their passers on their respective backs. Yet our defensive line is untested. This should be a good opportunity for them to prove that they can fill the void left by Kiwi.


2. Pass effectively. Ryan likes to sling it and CMU is undersized at Corner. He needs to stretch the field and get all the guys in the mix. This should also be a good opportunity to see which of the reserve WRs and Tight Ends want and can step up.


3. Ryan Ohlinger needs to impress. The guy is a headcase. He has the leg. Let’s see him get off to a good start and carry it through the season.



Gambling notes.
-- TOB is 6-3 in openers.
-- CMU hasn’t won an opener since 2002.
-- TOB is 11-11 against the spread as an Away Favorite.
-- BC is 3-1-1 against the spread vs. current MAC schools.
The current line is BC-13.5.

What would be a pleasant surprise? A controlled scrimmage where BC puts up 40+ points, plays the second team and hold the Chippewas to 14.


What would be a letdown? A narrow win.


What would be a shocker? A loss. This team and this schedule has so much upside. A loss…I don’t even want to think about it.


Bottom line
I think BC wins. It won’t be as pretty as I would like, but I think the defense plays well, I think Raji will have a big day and I think Ryan will throw for 200+ yards.


Final Score: BC 34, CMU16.

Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Good to Great



Anyone who has gone to Business School in the last five years probably had to read Good to Great. While it focuses on business leaders, there is a sports reference buried deep inside the book. The author Jim Collins mentions John Wooden’s tenure at UCLA. The Wizard of Westwood coached at the school for 15 seasons before finally winning a championship, which sparked one of the greatest runs in team sports history. Making the leap from good to great is extremely difficult…yet when reading the book I immediately started hoping that TOB had that leap in him. The leap has been a somewhat of a theme for this blog this summer (see below) and when a message board poster (HJS) suggested that someone send a copy of the book to TOB, I decided to conclude the last day before kickoff with an overview of Collins’ keys to greatness and if TOB is headed there.


Level 5 Leader: Level 5 is Collins’ highest level of leadership. However, he found the Level 5s are not exactly what you would expect. They are not exclusively the rah rah, big speech, big idea types. The Level 5s tend not to make a big splash on arrival. They are slower and more methodical in their approach and results. BC fans want a Coughlin-esque tough talker, but the former BC coach and current Giants coach would probably not qualify as a Level 5. TOB seems to have the personality for the Level 5. This is a good thing.


First Who, Then What: This idea is get the right people on board and then figure out who should do what. It also covers everyone buying in. TOB certainly has the people he wants in place -- the staff has been mostly intact for seven years. So that is covered. There are still major questions about whether or not they are the right people.


Confront the brutal Facts: TOB has certainly done this -- to the annoyance of many fans like me. He is constantly talking about the challenges building and winning at BC (academics, the region, weather, etc.). Great companies know their challenges and then work around or through them. I don’t think Collins would appreciate TOB using them as a crutch with the media like he does.


The Hedgehog Concept: Find out what you do and do it well. Under TOB we will never be a run and gun, 50 points a game team. It is not in him. So we need to build physical teams that play controlled, error-free football. I think TOB knows this. Now the question is can we improve our quality of play so that this style is more effective against the better teams in college football. This also means no more WTFs.


Culture of Discipline: Pretty straight forward. I would say TOB has this for the most part. However, there are the occasional cracks here and there.


Technology Accelerators: Not really applicable to football. (One could say adopting new techniques, but I haven’t seen anything that really fits the examples in the book.)


The Flywheel: This covers the forward momentum that greatness carries. Once you create something great, it can become so powerful that it moves forward on its own. We are clearly not there yet.


Conclusion: I bet TOB has read the book. Even if he hasn’t he clearly has established many of the keys to Collins’ guide. But that still means nothing. TOB needs results and soon. If he goes on a nice three or four year run and wins two ACC titles, we can look back on what he did and say “he built something great.” If we go 8-4 this year and 8-4 next year, he might as well retire. Seriously...because he’d be done with a lot of people. BC has never been in a better position regarding its conference, its facilities and the school itself. The powers of our conference are in a down cycle. Our non-conference schedule is hollow. Greatness is waiting to happen. Can TOB take us there? The answers to that question begin Thursday.




Good to Great Summer 2006

-- Outside Opinion: Bob Ryan, Burnt Orange, Dodgy at Best

-- Building a Staff

-- Improving after nine years

-- The best and worst of TOB Part 1, Part 2, Part 3


Talent issues (here and here)

Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Bad hair days and other links

Last week a few of the guys shaved and died their hair into Mohawks. Now the first photos are leaking out. I kind of like the look.


Seperated at Birth: WWE's Viscera and BC's B.J. Raji


I've been critical of the Globe's lack of coverage. Tuesday they finally stepped up to the plate. Vega published three articles and two were listed as web exclusive. Creating unique content for Boston.com is very encouraging. Here are the articles: a Sheridan feature, a story on the Freshman, and a write up on Whitworth.


While this push is exciting, it still showed one of my frustrations with BC coverage -- the papers covering the same story. Part of this is inevitable. On a sports beat only so many things happen. However, sometimes it feels like BC shapes the story by making certain players available. So you get a Freshman story in the Herald too. The Herald also featured this article on our big boys.


Jeff Smith continues to get attention locally.


Smith isn't the only one getting written up by his local paper. The Providence Journal published this article on Jamie Silva Tuesday.


Former BC star Antonio Garay is still hoping to make the Bears final roster.


Here is a little something on the Gionta brothers.

Monday, August 28, 2006

Guest Blogger: The CMU Weblog

It's game time (almost). It's game week anyway. So I enlisted the help of a CMU blogger to get some insight before our kickoff Thursday. Tony gamely answered my queries below. Go to The Central Michigan University Weblog before and after the game to read about CMU sports.

1. Is your QB picture as uncertain as it appears. Will the starter for the BC game be on a short leash?

As of right now the starter is Brian Brunner. This late into camp and with opening night just over a week away it seems as if he will start the BC game. However a few days ago Coach Brian Kelly said he has not closed the gap and locked up the starting job like he had hoped for. Dan LeFevour, a red shirt freshman seems to be the next closest QB competing for the starting job. Central overall has a nice talented crop of QB's, but Brunner is by far the most knowledgeable of the system. He has, however, only taken 3 snaps in his college career, and still hasn't really shown how to properly execute in the scrimmages CMU has had. LeFevour is much more athletic, and has shown a lot in practice/scrimmage. This all leads me to believe that Brunner will start against BC, but he will most certainly be on a short leash. If he falters early against BC...making interceptions, fumbling the ball, or just making plain bad throws, don't be surprised to see another QB quickly step in. Coach Kelly has also made this fact known...he is not ruling out using numerous QB's in this game. Sean Price is very athletic and fast, as well as Duane Brooks, both viable options. How the QB or QB's play in the BC game will determine whether Central can even keep it close.


2. Last season CMU struggled against passing attacks. Have any adjustments been made to improve things?


Well over half of Brian Kelly's recruiting class was DB's. He wants them faster, more athletic, and a little taller. That will pay off in the future, but most likely not early on this year. Both starting CB's are gone from last year, and the starting Strong Safety Marlin Maxwell can not play due to eligibility problems. Senior Pacino Horne was a safety last season but has moved to CB as a starter on one side. The other probable starter according to Kelly is redshirt freshman Josh Gordy (5-11, 189). 5-6, 181, Terrance Robinson is a veteran QB on the team, but he will compete with some freshman recruits for playing time. Junior Curtis Cutts (6-0, 210) is replacing Horne at Free Safety. The other Safety spot could go to one of the newly recruited freshman from Florida or to redshirt freshman Aaron Carr or Calvin Hissong, a former receiver. Basically you see the DB's are completely revamped from last year. The inexperience will no doubt cost CMU at times this season, but overall Coach Kelly is very excited about their athletic ability. It all comes down to how fast they can learn from their mistakes. It might be ugly in the beginning, but there is certainly upside. BC, I am sure, will be ready to exploit CMU through the passing game, and if I was coach, that would be my number one strategy. I would be shocked if BC's receiving core didn't hurt the inexperienced DB's in this highly pressurized game for them; it's tough to play a new position with that much pressure, and against a great team off the bat and be successful. I look for the pass defense to be the worst in the MAC most of the season, with good improvement down the home stretch.


3. Dan Bazuin will be the focus of our protection. Is there anyone else on the defensive side BC should key on?


I think Thomas Keith, who was a sophomore last year is absolutely awesome. He was named second team all MAC after leading CMU in tackles with 104, and interceptions, with four. He was top six in tackles in the entire Mid-American Conference. The rest of the linebacking group is very solid with Issac Brown and Doug Kress, very solid, physical players. I do believe Keith was very underrated nationally last year, and is a great player...he should prove that even more this season for CMU with all the expectations placed on this team locally. Bazuin is the best for sure, and you better plan your strategy around him, but the whole Defensive Line in general is very solid -- this wasn't the number one rated run defense in the MAC last year for nothing. If CMU can stop BC's running game, and not have to bring another man up to defend the run, and emphasize more on shutting down BCs passing game -- that's the scenario where CMU has a chance to pull the upset.


4. If BC shuts down your run game, I think we romp. However, if you guys can move the chains and control the clock, it could be interesting. What is your prediction and final score?


As much as it pains me to admit it, and make no mistake, I do believe CMU has a chance, I think BC will win. Lately a lot of the press around here has been concerning when it comes to the QB and RB positions. Kelly is not happy that Brunner "didn't take the job and run with it" and he also is not happy with starting RB Ontario Sneed, who had an unbelievable freshman season last year. Kelly has criticized him for being tentative when running during practices and scrimmages. He even went as far to imply that Ontario wasn't the for sure number one starter at this point. If he doesn't pick it up in practice and has a slow start in the BC game, look for CMU to turn to a 3 RB system, which isn't very deep with all freshman. My main concern however is the pass defense and our pass offense. I believe that will be the difference. Brunner is starting the first game of his college career against a perennial top 25 team on national tv -- that is the epitome of pressure. I think he will struggle and Kelly will go onto shuffling QB's, which in no way is good for the cohesion of an offense. The young/inexperienced DB's will give up some easy pass plays and points as well. I can't predict how rookies will play, or how inexperienced players will play so this is tough. If they play like they've played forever CMU no doubt can pull an upset in front of a fired up crowd. However, I will go off past experience and knowledge of football and say they have a tough time due to the lack of pressure situations. Final Score: BC 38 CMU 17


Thanks to Tony and be sure to check out his blog.

Friday, August 25, 2006

Another ATL QB? Another BC blogger and other links

With Simms going off to Louisville, BC is looking elsewhere for another QB and it looks like one of the places they are scouting is Metro-Atlanta. Local product Lee Chapple is getting interest from BC. Like Applegate, he is a late bloomer playing for a power program (GAC annually sends kids to DIA schools and has the state's top RB). He may not be as well-known as Simms, but I think he would be a solid signing.


There is another new BC blogger out there. TWood, who is well known to many message boards readers, started a BC Basketball blog earlier this summer. Welcome to the club, T. As always I wish him the best of luck and while BC basketball is not as emotionally draining as BC football, there will be times where TWood's new family will need our prayers for his sanity.


Jeff Smith cracked the two deep and got a little pub from his local paper.


Here is an update on CMU.


The USA Today published its ACC Overview.


The Cleveland Plain Dealer named recent recruit Nick Schepis the 3rd best player in their area.


Brian St. Pierre fights for a roster spot in Baltimore.

Questions about Depth

Here is the Depth Chart for Central Michigan.



It is BC and TOB, so there is clearly nothing shocking here. (We just don’t do shocking.)


However the release does raise some questions.



1. How often will Brandon Robinson be on the field? The star recruit of his class, BRob redshirted his first year and then barely saw the field last year. When he did play, he showed a spark that fans hoped for. Many thought he would be a starter by now. I still have faith. As the third option last year, Gonzo caught 28 passes and scored 5 TDs. I think BRob can at least match those numbers.


2. Who is the emergency QB? I think it has to be Billy Flutie. I know the staff wants to redshirt Ross Applegate. What happens if Ryan or Crane go down? Do they go with the best player? Do they waste Ross’ redshirt? Are the walk-ons even in the mix? TOB will never address these questions since it is speculation at this point. Hopefully Ryan stays healthy all year and it never becomes an issue.


3. Is Ty Hall the backup at more than one position? Hall is dinged up and it cost him a starting role at guard. He’s had time at both Tackles and even got a shot at Center. He is only listed as the backup Right Guard, but I bet he will be considered in other spots if needed.


4. Where is Pat Sheil? Another prized recruit who is missing from the list. He is still a Redshirt Freshman, so there is time for him. But given how fast past OLine prodigies were worked into the depth chart, I thought he’d be on the two deep by now.


5. When will the decision between Anderson and Bowman be made? Anderson looked great in limited time last year. It is encouraging that Bowman is playing well enough to challenge him. Since one of them will be replacing a three year starter, I think the guy needs to be named and given the time to prepare mentally for next week.

Thursday, August 24, 2006

Season prediction Part III: what will happen

This is part III of my possible predictions. This will serve as my official prediction. The others were the extreme. This is what I think will actually happen. Last season, I came pretty close with this forecast. I am not as confident in my the predictions below. I really think this could be a fantastic season. The type many of us have been waiting for. Yet common sense and TOB lowering expectations forced me to add one more loss than my gut wanted. As much as I like being right, I would welcome this team out performing my expectations below.


What will happen



At Central Michigan. Win. BC is listless for most of the first half. However, they get their act together and kick ass in the second half.


Clemson. Win. This is the game I went back and forth on. I really think Clemson is overrated and we face them at the right time. However, the constant “this is Clemson’s year” talk left me questioning my instinct. So I went with history. Let me explain. After TOB, the second most predictable coach in the ACC is Tommy Bowden. Like clockwork, his teams stumble early only to save his job late in the season. I think we win this game and provide the Bowden haters with more ammo for the new year.


BYU. Win. Alumni is not College football's toughest venue, but I like our chances against a BYU team crossing the country.


At NC State. Win. NC State has talent. I think they lack good coaching.


Maine. Win. Not even interesting.


Virginia Tech. Loss. The longest win streak of TOB’s career is six games. Closing last season with three wins would mean BC would enter this game with an eight-win streak. Do you honestly think it will last past this game?


At Florida State. Win. Revenge from last year. Bouncing back after the Tech loss will be a real sign of this team’s heart.


Buffalo. Win. I hope people are starting to realize how light this schedule is.


At Wake Forest. Loss. Losing this game would be crushing. It would kill any good will TOB would have built up with the hot start and the FSU win. But until O’Brien proves that he can consistently avoid a WTF game, I need to pencil at least one in. As everyone knows, Wake has given us fits. Why should I expect anything different this season?


Duke. Win. A team that might be worse than Buffalo.


Maryland. Loss. I believe this is our year to knock off a few of the big boys. As sure as I am of that, I am unsure how we will do against our peer programs. TOB has historically split against his peers. I think we trip up over Maryland this year.


At Miami. Win. I think this is the end of the Coker era. I also think this will be a huge game for Matt Ryan.



9-3 after the regular season. I don’t think that will be good enough for the ACC Championship game. So I see us going to Orlando for the Champs Bowl against Nebraska. We crush them and TOB gets his first 10 win season in 10 years.

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Season prediction Part II: worst-case scenario

This is part II of my possible predictions. I don't think the wheels will come off this season, but if things go bad it could play out like this.


Worst case scenario



At Central Michigan. Loss. The team comes out flat and never gets into the game. MAC teams continue their early season upsets (a la Ohio beating Pitt last season).


Clemson. Loss. Clemson is rolling and we are completely lost.


BYU. Win. BC finally bounces back and gives hope for the remainder of the season.


At NC State. Win. Even in a bad season, I think we will beat NC State.


Maine. Win. Three in a row raise spirits, even if one of the wins comes against Maine.


Virginia Tech. Loss. The mini-streak comes crashing back down to earth. Hokies romp.


At Florida State. Loss. BC shows more spirit than they did against Va Tech. Still loses.


Buffalo. Win. Buffalo is terrible. We don't lose this game under any circumstance.


At Wake Forest. Win. With the CMU game filling our WTF quota, BC actually plays well and gets the win in Winston-Salem.


Duke. Win. Duke might not beat a DI-A team this season.


Maryland. Loss. Both teams need this game. Maryland pulls it out.


At Miami. Loss. Miami is back and ESPN regrets putting BC on primetime. No Flutie memories. Just relief that the regular season is over.



6-6. This might still get us into a bowl. Probably Boise again. Even in a terrible season, I think TOB could do enough to beat a WAC team in a Idaho. The final tally: 7-6. Bowl streak intact but the fanbase clearly unhappy.


It shows you how easy our schedule is that even in a terrible season, we still get to .500 and make a bowl.


Check in tomorrow for my actual predictions.

Southern commit and other news

The basketball recruiting class is really taking shape. The newest addition is Joshua Southern. His cousin and BC staff member Preston Murphy helped close the deal.


Here is an article on football commit Dan Mulrooney.


The New York Times profiled Buffalo's pay for play out of conference schedule. BC will pony up $320,000 for them to come to the Heights. (Thanks to Mark for sharing the link.)


ACC Blogger David Glenn has a recap of the recent recruits who didn't make it to campus. After a few years of academic washouts, we managed to avoid it this year.


Another Kiwi update. It looks like he is really turning heads.

Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Blogpoll Roundtable

The Blogpoll roundtables are back. This time Notre Dame blogger The House that Rock Built is asking questions about our preseason ballots. My answers are below. Check out his blog for links to what other bloggers had to say.


1. What's the biggest ripoff in this preseason poll? Either pick a team that's offensively over or underrated, or you can rag on a particular voter's bad pick (hey, we're all adults here, we can handle it).


Oklahoma. Unlike the Coaches, most blogpollers had time to adjust their ranking due to the Bomar mess. Yet, at 16, they are higher than I think they should be. I think they will struggle and probably are about five spots overranked.



2. What should a preseason poll measure? Specifically, should it be a predictor of end-of-season standing (meaning that a team's schedule should be taken into account when determining a ranking), or should it merely be a barometer of talent/hype/expectations?


I always look at it as a predictor of how the season will end. I think Notre Dame will win it all, hence their No. 1 ranking in my poll. I don’t think BC has the best talent and clearly doesn’t have the expectations, but I think that with our schedule we will finish in the Top 20. I learned right away that this poll stuff is clearly inexact.


3. What is your biggest stretch in your preseason ballot? That is to say, which team has the best chance of making you look like an idiot for overrating them?


Florida. I have them in the Top 5. Although the blogpollers placed them pretty high, there are many Gator fans who are worried about Urban Year 2. They clearly have question marks, and the Meyer-Leak combo didn’t look like a Top 5 team last year. If they lose to UGA, Tennessee, Florida State and South Carolina, I’ll be cleaning egg off my face and trying to get Orson and Stranko off the ledge.



4. What do you see as the biggest flaw in the polling system (both wire service and blogpolling)? Is polling an integral part of the great game of college football, or is it an outdated system that needs to be replaced? If you say the latter, enlighten us with your new plan.


The biggest flaw with any poll is that the voters cannot see all the games. It was a lesson I learned last season. I think Brian accounts for this bias with his poll better than the traditional polls, but the system is still flawed and outdated. My solution is not original: a 16-team playoff, Conference winners and a few at-large selected by a committee.


5. You're Scott Bakula, and you have the opportunity to "Quantum Leap" back in time and change any single moment in your team's history. It can be a play on the field, a hiring decision, or your school's founders deciding to build the campus in Northern Indiana, of all godforsaken places. What do you do?


I would go back to the 2004 Temple game and take Paul Peterson out before he broke his hand. I don’t know if he would have been enough to prevent the Syracuse debacle the next week, but I like to think he would have made a difference…


Rehashing the Syracuse game. Ugh. Thanks for ruining my day, House That Rock Built.

Season prediction Part I: best-case scenario

Last season I made three sets of predictions. One best-case, one worst-case and then one final, lock-solid, what will happen (which proved pretty accurate). With the season a little over a week away, I’ll reuse the gimmick again. The best-case scenario is a little tough since my real prediction is going to be pretty positive. If everything goes well the season could play out like this.


Best case scenario



At Central Michigan. Win. Despite some injuries and a flat summer, the team comes out strong in its opener.


Clemson. Win. Another classic between two evenly matched teams. Matt Ryan shows that he is the real deal and puts away fear of a second year starter slump.


BYU. Win. BC still proves too physical for the Cougars and controls the game throughout.


At NC State. Win. NC State cannot stop the most potent offense of the TOB era. BC runs at will behind Beekman and Cherilus.


Maine. Win. No giant killer moment for Maine this year. Crane gets his first extended time of the season and everyone goes home happy.


Virginia Tech. Win The Heights are electric as BC hosts a Thursday night game in a battle of Top 20 teams. BC wins and propels themselves to the Top 10 in both polls. Classes are lightly attended Friday.


At Florida State. Loss. Another close game, but like the year before, BC can’t hold on to beat the ‘Noles.


Buffalo. Win A nice bounce back game after the Florida State loss.


At Wake Forest. Loss Come on. Even in a dream season we lose this game.


Duke. Win. Duke is in for a long year. We don’t make things better for them.


Maryland. Win. A really tough game, but BC hangs on.


At Miami. Win. At this point BC is cruising and Miami is struggling in possibly Coker’s last season.



The two conference losses keep us out of the ACC Championship Game. However, our high ranking and appealing TV draw place us in the Chick-Fil-A/Peach Bowl against Georgia. TOB keeps his bowl win streak alive by beating the dogs and BC caps a really impressive year with an 11-2 record.


Check in tomorrow for the worst case scenario.

Monday, August 21, 2006

Andy Katz email exchange


Like most fan bases, BC followers often feel slighted by the national media. Even before we joined the ACC, it often felt like ESPN’s basketball coverage was based on Duke, North Carolina and then everyone else. The lone exception in Bristol has been Andy Katz. A Massachusetts native, Katz has often given BC more time than his peers. His news and analysis on the Eagles is usually more insightful than stuff available in the Globe or Herald. In addition to giving time to BC basketball, Andy is also willing to give time to a BC blogger. In this email interview, we talk about his connection to the school and his expectations for this year’s team.


ATL_eagle: BC basketball fans often feel overlooked by the national media, so your reporting and insight into the program is always appreciated. How have you built your relationship with Al Skinner and his staff?



Andy Katz: Essentially by being myself. I get along very well with people. Al is one of those people that doesn’t always let a lot of folks into his inner circle. But once you sit down and just talk to him you find that he has an engaging and infectious personality. It’s no secret that my father is a professor at Boston College Law School. He has been there for 38 years. So I grew up around the program. That helps with my familiarity with the place.

ATL_eagle: We know you have Boston roots and a BC connection (your father). Were you a fan growing up?


Andy Katz: I was a fan. I went to BC basketball camp for years through the Tom Davis and early Gary Williams years. I used to go to Roberts Center and the Complex all the time. I remember shagging rebounds at times for Jay Murphy and Martin Clark.


ATL_eagle: Skinner's assistants finally got the credit and opportunities they deserved. Are you surprised programs haven't expressed interest in Al? Is his style and demeanor the real reason he is overlooked by fans and the national media or is it something else?


Andy Katz: If Al wanted to I was certain he could have pursued Virginia. But Al is a man who is comfortable with his surroundings. He’s an East Coast guy, more so a southern New England/New York person. I’ve always thought he would be the perfect NBA coach if he ever wants to go that route.


ATL_eagle: While fans liked the new hires, many are concerned about the major turnover in assistants. Are we putting too much emphasis on the role Coen and Cooley played in BC's recent success?


Andy Katz: Probably. Be patient with Pat Duquette. He knows basketball. He has tremendous relationship skills. He’ll get it done. I wouldn’t fret.


ATL_eagle: After a decade of going after "diamond in the rough" types, it looks like the 2007 recruiting class will be filled with well-known, heavily-recruited players. Do you attribute the shift to the change in staff, the need for a higher level of talent in the ACC or is it just that BC's recent success is gaining traction with the blue chippers?


Andy Katz: It’s more of a case of the ACC and the recent success. But BC will still look for the hidden gems when it can get them.


ATL_eagle: I’m expecting a big year from Jared Dudley and think he'll thrive now that he doesn’t have to defer to anyone. Am I overestimating his ability or the role that Craig Smith played in Jared’s success?


Andy Katz: No, Dudley is the type of player who can score regardless of who is next to him. It might be tougher without Smith, but Dudley finds a way to get to the basket. I’m not sure there is a better player using the angles around the basket.


ATL_eagle: Do you think Sean Williams can develop into a 30 minute a game player and contribute something on the offensive side of the court?


Andy Katz: Not sure. He is working on his offensive game. But he has to improve on his low-post moves. If he does then the Eagles have a real shot to get deep into March.


ATL_eagle: I know you have BC in your top 20? Do you think this team has enough talent to win the ACC or potentially make the Final Four?


Andy Katz: The Eagles won’t beat out North Carolina but I see no reason why they can’t fight for second with Duke, Georgia Tech and Maryland.

Friday, August 18, 2006

Outside opinion No. 2

Bob Ryan doesn’t think BC football will ever be more than it is. Some wonder if our Athletic Department and Coaching Staff feel the same way. On the opposite end are the diehards like me who are growing frustrated and just want one season where it all comes together. Obviously I think BC has the potential for a breakout season. But my perspective is clearly skewed. So in an effort to get an educated but unbiased opinion, I’ve asked Kanu for Dodgy at Best to give his thoughts on BC and college football in New England. I figure he has the perfect pedigree: raised in Boston, but went to school in SEC country, plus he is a really good writer (check out his blog for more on Arsenal, Horse Racing and Golf). Here is what he had to say:
Kanu is not a fan of the angry chicken hat


First off, thanks for lobbing these questions my way.


Full disclosure: I was born & bred in Natick, MA; also the hometown of Doug Flutie, which should give me some street cred here (for a paragraph or two anyways). Moved to Georgia during HS and then attended University of Georgia for undergrad & grad school. Bounced around ATL for a while then moved to SF in 2005. Went to most UGA home games and have seen them play all over the Southeast as well. In recent years I have gone to less games in person and watched more games from around the country at the house. The last 5-6 years I’m the guy with Gameplan and multiple TVs who watches all the games every Saturday for 12 hours. I probably see 6-8 BC games a year, although “watching” some of them sometimes involves watching 7 concurrent games on 2 or 3 TVs, so it is certainly a more casual viewing than what y’all do.


As far as BC is concerned, I consider myself pretty neutral. In a vacuum I neither pine for them to succeed or root for schadenfreude-inducing failure. I share your frustration about the losses to FSU last year and Miami at home in 2001 on the helmet deflected 100 yard fumble return, because I had bets on BC to cover those days, not to mention the inexplicable tank job against Syracuse 2 years ago that cost you a BCS bowl and cost me some money. On the other hand, they have got me some good covers in the past few years as well. I do respect the program that TOB has built up there. That being said, I think that white hat he wears with that absolutely ridiculous new-school redesign eagle logo is horrid.


Something you said in your intro caught my eye: “diehards like me who are growing frustrated and just want one season where it all comes together”. I know exactly what you mean, but understand that the diehards of every program that have not won a national championship in the last 10 years feel the same way. What I mean, is, as a BC fan, your statement may mean that you look at a school like Georgia and wish that you could get to that level – playing for & winning conf titles, BCS bowls, 4 top 10 finishes in a row, etc. The trick is that UGA people, while they appreciate the success that we have had, feel exactly the same way you described. We feel like we want the one season where it all comes together and we play for the whole ball of wax. As good as it has been, we are frustrated that it could easily have been even better (2005: 2 reg. season losses by 4 to UF without Shockley and by 1 to AUB on a 4th & 31 conversion with an 80% Shockley; 2002: 1 loss thanks to turnovers & 3 missed FGs in 7 pt loss to UF, finished year ranked #3). Even a team like Texas, who enjoyed way more success than UGA over the last 10 years, felt just like you did until this past January – for them conference championships, 10 wins, and BCS bowls were frustratingly not enough. I understand your comment because key injuries have left BC with feelings of “what if” and “so close” over the past few years. After thinking about it I think almost all teams at all levels feel this way. It’s kind of like golf: You shoot 100 and wish it would all come together over 18 holes so you could shoot 88 and break 90 for the first time. You wish you could be in your buddy’s shoes: he shoots 80-85. The trick is that he feels the exact same way you do, and is frustrated that he can’t shoot in the upper 70s consistently, and he envies your other buddy who is a 5 handicap, who himself is frustrated that he is not scratch. It’s here nor there, but know that you are not alone in the frustration that you describe – we all feel that way, except probably fans of Texas, USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Ohio State, Miami, FSU, and Nebraska. *


*I’m not being hubristic about UGA vis a vis BC, just trying to make a comparison. I readily acknowledge that UGA lost to BC in the Gaylord Bowl a few years back and that UGA also lost to Big East team WVU in the Sugar Bowl last year.



Now then, let’s do this.

1. Do you think Tom O’Brien would be under more fan and media pressure if he was producing these results in the SEC or Big XII?


Is he under media & fan pressure in Beantown? [Editor's Note: Not really] Obviously I don’t follow the program as closely as y’all, but I have never heard of him being heavily criticized or on the proverbial hot seat.


Depends on the school: In the SEC are you talking about a UGA or LSU or a Vandy or Kentucky? In the Big XII are you talking about A&M or Baylor? I think you mean in a comparable situation, a middle-to-upper tier conference team. As far as sociologically, the answer is yes, but that is more down to how much more important CFB is socially in SEC or Big XII country vs. a pro sports town like Boston (see question #2). As far as results, it’s hard to give the man too much grief or pressure given his track record. Six straight bowl wins, back to back 9 win seasons (1st time since 83-84 per Steele), no losing seasons, consistently developing NFL talent, running a clean program, staying out of trouble. He seems to have raised the level of the program but also made it consistently good, which is much more impressive than programs who have a great year and then slide back into obscurity for a while before having another great year (say, Maryland). And he seems an all around respectable and good guy who goes about it the right way, which is an underrated point of pride – if I had to choose, I’d rather be a BC fan than an Auburn fan, where they might be seen as better/more successful but they only seem to succeed when they cheat and are always on probation or under investigation. I think overall TOB is doing a great job given the resources and academic standards available to him at BC and shouldn’t really be under too much pressure if he were at BC or at a mid-level school in the SEC or Big XII. I think if y’all stick with him you are more likely to eventually have the breakout season you desire then if you ditch him for someone else. That being said, fans and media always tend to take for granted what they have and demand more.


2. Can you ever envision a scenario were BC’s fan base grew in Boston? And I don’t mean to the Red Sox level, but more than the occasional bandwagon group that tunes in for the Notre Dame game.


Every fan base fluctuates up and down with success or lack of it, thanks to the bandwagoners, but my honest answer to your question is no. You are in a professional sports town where college football clearly comes after the Sox, Pats, Celts, and Bruins. College sports just isn’t sewn as deep into the social fabric in the Northeast because the cities there have so many other things to follow, specifically professional sports teams. In the South you have a near or total lack of pro teams, and in many places there is literally nothing else to follow sports-wise, so entire regions and states follow college football, and not just hardcore football fans either. If you think about it, the only 2 college football programs in the Northeast that have developed a big following like those in the South or Midwest are Penn State and Syracuse. What do these two schools have in common? Both are away from big cities with professional sports teams and have little competition.


The only way I could see a huge BC breakthrough would be a perfect storm situation that involved 3 things happening concurrently: 1) Somehow landing a player who turned out to be so special that he becomes must see TV for all college football fans, that once in a decade player that people are compelled to watch to see him do unbelievable things that they have not seen before. I’m talking about a Deion Sanders, Michael Vick, Reggie Bush, or Vince Young type player that will generate a huge buzz and get everyone around the country tuning in to every BC game to watch him do his thing 2) The Patriots need to be in a down period or flat out suck, as they did in the early 80s, so that football fans in general in New England would be more likely to follow BC and ignore the Pats. It sure wouldn’t hurt if the Red Sox, Celtics, and Bruins also sucked at the same time. 3) A season where they go undefeated, or at a minimum are ranked in the top 6 late into November with a chance to realistically play for the national title , and win their conference championship. Follow-up success the season after this would go along way as well. If these 3 things happened at the same time then I could see the fan base expand significantly, but even still it is tough to see them doing a full-on Va. Tech or K-State because of the big city thing I mentioned above – those two program buildups happened in rural areas as well.


3. A lot is made of the difficulty of building a winner in New England (weather, population, mediocre high school football). I think having the whole area to yourself (and UConn) outweighs the drawbacks. What is your take?


Well TOB technically has built a winner. I don’t buy the weather thing – the weather sucks ass in Ohio and Michigan, not to mention Syracuse (historically of course, they sure have been shite lately). I do buy the talent pool argument though: MA/CT/RI just produce so much less talent than bigger states, not to mention NH/VT/ME. The only way to overcome this is to become such a power that you can recruit nationally (like ND does), but you need the blue chip recruits to become the powerhouse, so it is a bit of a catch 22. Another thing that is extremely significant is the university’s commitment to athletics as well as academic standards. BC seems like a school that is not going to accept questionable kids that Clemson/FSU/Miami/VT are, just to name a few other ACC teams. That, more than what you mentioned, puts you at a competitive disadvantage. Lastly the fact that UConn is making a serious investment and effort to have a go at big time football can’t help any; every good football player they sign from New England is one that 10 years ago would probably end up in Chestnut Hill. So I think that the drawbacks definitely outweigh having the “whole area to yourself”, given that the area is not extremely talent rich to begin with.


4. I know this might not come for another five year, but what do you think BC should look for in their next coach when Tom O’Brien leaves?


I would look for two things: a proven winner, and most importantly, a coach who is one charismatic dude. So charismatic that he can go into living rooms and convince kids to go to BC instead of schools that are perceived as bigger & better programs. In short, you need a great recruiter and a great coach, one or the other won’t do (for example, Ray Goff at UGA in the early 90s was a great recruiter but didn’t develop the talent once he got it into the program – he wasn’t a good coach). Someone who can recruit nationally but also coach up a storm. Weis would be a good fit with is time in Boston, but we all know that is not going to happen. Jeff Tedford at Cal is the coach who I always mention in our theoretical “what if Richt takes the FSU job when Papa Bowden retires and UGA needs a new coach?”, but I think there are very, very few jobs that he would leave Cal for. “The next Urban Meyer” is what you want, a good coach with some results who also has a certain charisma and personality that makes people really believe that he can do big things.


A lot of this comes down to timing, to what is out there and available in the year when you change a coach. For example, if Florida had given Ron Zook one more year, then Urban Meyer would be somewhere else today, so the biggest aspect of coach replacement is timing and availability.





So there you go. I feel like I just rambled and didn’t say anything profound, but thanks for the opportunity to ramble. I hope for the BC fans that they next time I am in Boston and I dial up some sports talk radio to listen to the epic hardcore Boston accents, that “Maahk from Aahlington” calls up wanting to talk about how BC is kicking ass rather than how “Gabe Kaplah is a gamah and should definitely be on the playoff rostah.” Best of luck to BC in the upcoming season, and to you if you have to drive through the Ted Williams Tunnel. Oh, and please pass the hat and get TOB a proper hat for gameday.


Thanks to Kanu for taking the time. It is not what we all want to hear but that was the reason I asked his opinion. Sometimes we (or maybe just me) get so wrapped up in this that it is hard to see the big picture.

Thursday, August 17, 2006

Basketball schedule and other news

BC released its basketball schedule. The non-conference highlight is playing at Kansas two days before Christmas. Very cool. You can look for me at the Clemson game and obviously at the Georgia Tech game. I would love to go to the Duke game but I have a 1 year-old birthday party to go to on that day. I'll have a deeper breakdown of the schedule in the next week.


Andy Katz has us in his Top 20. I'll have more from him in the coming week too.


Here is an article on Chris Fox's adjustment to College Football.


A nice article on Brian Toal.


Here is a short feature on recent commit Dominick Magazu

Blogger summer assessment: NC State

NC State was probably one of the bigger disappointments in the ACC last season. Obviously very talented, the team squeaked into a bowl and left a lot of people wondering about Chuck Amato. To get more information on what to expect this year, I’ve asked Steven from Section Six to give us his insight into the Wolfpack.


1. What is the one thing all the experts have wrong about this year's NC State team?


Section Six: I can't reiterate this enough: Chuck Amato is noton the hot seat. Every article written about poor Chuck has the same message: Amato needs to put together a good season or he may lose his job. Yes, there were times last season when fans booed. No, this does not automatically mean the coach is on the hot seat. There can't be too many coaches coming off of a bowl bid who have to deal with this from the media.


There are concerns, there are frustrations--no one is happy about two consecutive losses to North Carolina. But I've really seen nothing to suggest that Amato has fallen out of favor with a significant chunk of Wolfpack fans. The mood around the football program is nothing like the mood had been around Herb Sendek's basketball program.


That is not to say this season isn't important for Amato. If NC State stumbles to 4-8 or something like that, he will be on the hot seat in 2007--and rightfully so.


2. Everyone says that Amato has underachieved since Rivers left or that Rivers covered up Amato's weakness. Either way, there is more to it, right? For example how can an All-Star defense get pushed around like they did at times last year? What is your take on the post-Rivers era?


Section Six: We have gotten such terrible production from the quarterback spot since Rivers left that it is difficult for me to place too much blame on Amato's coaching. In addition, NC State has had all sorts of problems with its offensive line. Injuries destroyed the line in 2004, and for whatever reason the line never gelled in 2005 (NC State's now-departed OL coach deserves a lot of the blame, I think). Those issues have made for some laughably bad offense over the last two seasons. It's not playcalling, it's not scheme, it's not a lack of motivation.


We haven't found the right guy to replace Rivers, and that has done far more damage to our prospects than Chuck Amato ever could.


As you mention, though, there are some things that make everyone wonder whether or not Amato has managed his post-Rivers teams effectively. That the defensive line could be so mediocre in the first half of 2005 and so dominant in the second half is telling, and not in a good way. This is one problem that can safely be blamed on coaching. The lightbulb didn't just turn on halfway through the year; the players didn't just magically unlock some hidden ability. Amato has been accused of coddling his star players too much, of perhaps not fostering the most disciplined environment. Maybe he could have done more over the last two years to tighten the screws.


Still, I'm giving Amato the benefit of the doubt. Despite his shortcomings, he isn't a bad coach, no matter what Stewart Mandel says. His only losing team (2004) was much better than its record suggested, and its underachievement had a lot more to do with bad luck (like the bizarre ending to the UNC game) than bad coaching.


3. Of the first rounders, who will be the hardest to replace?


Section Six: Mario Williams. NC State is left with young and unproven talent at defensive end, and while I'm optimistic about how the new guys are going to play, it's completely unrealistic to expect anything close to what we got from Williams last season. I've seen a few red flags this summer (red flags in the offseason, yellow flags in the regular season...) which have me concerned about the defensive ends, as well as the line in general.


In the first scrimmage of the year, Toney Baker and Andre Brown combined to run for 269 yards on 19 carries. Chuck Amato has talked about playing DeMario Pressley, who is one of the team's starting defensive tackles, at defensive end. It's obvious the coaches aren't comfortable with what they've seen in practice to this point.


Manny Lawson is easier to replace simply because he wasn't as good as Williams. John McCargo was a great defensive tackle, but NC State has a couple of guys at that position who will minimize the loss.


4. I know it is early, but how do you see BC's first trip to NC State as a member of the ACC?


Section Six: I see it as a successful one. I expect a closer game than last year, but I like the Eagles because Matt Ryan is just way better than Marcus Stone. Plus, the last time we had a green defensive line(2003), our defense was made into swiss cheese by just about everybody; Ryan and BC's running back tandem are more than capable of doing the same.


Thanks to Steven and be sure to check out Section Six throughout the season.