BC doesn’t have anyone who can guard J.J. Reddick. BC’s perimeter defense is susceptible to giving up bunches of 3s. Conte is not an intimidating environment. The last time BC faced a good shooting ACC power at home following a game against Georgia Tech, the Eagles got blown out. Those are just some of the reasons why BC shouldn’t win Wednesday. I think we can win. This is what needs to happen.
1. Jared Dudley needs to have a perfect game. We have no answer for Reddick. Smith and Williams should somewhat neutralize each other, so that leaves Dudley as our difference maker. Jared has struggled of late -- especially from the line -- but has a good big-game track record. The key tonight will be rebounding and getting to the line. I think Duke will pressure Hinnant, so Dudley will also need to help out bringing up the ball. A pumped up Dudley will also fire up the home crowd.
2. Patience on offense. The most encouraging aspect of the matchup is that BC’s offense is similar to Georgetown. We don’t run the Princeton offense or have the number of shooters they do, but the Flex does create a lot of high percentage shots and demands a lot of concentration and intensity from your opponent on defense.
3. Pressuring Paulus. Duke will get their points. The only uncertainty is how their talented, but still learning freshman PG will play. I think the key will be to put Rice and Haynes on him for long stretches. Both are smaller and quicker and have the chance to slow him down, delay their setups and create turnovers.
Baby Eagle was a good luck charm against Tech. Hopefully she’ll see another win Wednesday.